wallstreetbet123
0xd509fcd3eedcb4c2aeb4beef5ddd78af5eef32b4
- Realised P&L
- $-0.15
- Volume
- $241.61
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $15.49
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.111 | 0.040 | $7.08 | −$12.54 |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.334 | 0.175 | $4.31 | −$3.93 |
| Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.205 | $4.10 | −$4.90 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-0.15at 0.225Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-11 07:22 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.21 | $2.10 |
| 09-11 06:34 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.23 | $1.15 |
| 09-11 05:05 | Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? | BUY | 0.45 | $9.00 |
| 09-08 17:47 | Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.37 | $3.70 |
| 09-08 17:47 | Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $8.08 |
| 09-08 15:06 | Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.31 | $4.54 |
| 09-08 14:58 | Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $1.54 |
| 09-08 14:51 | Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.119999999 | $10.00 |