PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

vxseven

0xd4f20568f1f620e8c02383210ee523d4f2b6dcb2

Realised P&L
$-45.00
Volume
$2.7k
Markets traded
68
Open portfolio
$35.10

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded68
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? · Yes0.1600.145$14.50$1.50
Flávio Bolsonaro participates in debate before first round? · Yes0.4220.345$12.27$2.73
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.5900.595$2.72+$0.02
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on September 23? · Yes0.0030.003$1.88$0.12
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 15°C on September 23? · Yes0.1300.165$1.27+$0.27
Will Lula announce the nomination of an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil by September 30? · Yes0.0500.035$0.71$0.29
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 14°C on September 23? · Yes0.0860.045$0.53$0.47
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 13°C or below on September 23? · Yes0.0280.010$0.36$0.64
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on September 23? · Yes0.0680.020$0.29$0.71
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C or higher on September 23? · Yes0.0020.001$0.29$0.71
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on September 23? · Yes0.1600.045$0.28$0.72
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET · Up0.0800.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET · Down0.5310.000$0.00$3.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET · Up0.4900.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET · Up0.0900.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-22 08:10Will Lula announce the nomination of an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil by September 30?BUY0.05$1.00
09-22 07:57Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on September 23?BUY0.16$1.00
09-22 07:57Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on September 23?BUY0.0683760684$1.00
09-22 07:38Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 13°C or below on September 23?BUY0.0275862069$1.00
09-22 07:38Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 14°C on September 23?BUY0.0857142833$1.00
09-22 07:37Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 15°C on September 23?BUY0.1299999948$1.00
09-22 07:37Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on September 23?BUY0.004$1.00
09-22 07:35Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on September 23?BUY0.0019914923$1.00
09-22 07:34Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C or higher on September 23?BUY0.0017178116$1.00
09-21 09:44Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 5:40AM-5:45AM ETBUY0.17$0.85
09-21 09:33Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 5:30AM-5:35AM ETBUY0.1699999983$1.00
09-21 09:08Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 5:05AM-5:10AM ETBUY0.16$1.00
09-21 05:53Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 1:50AM-1:55AM ETBUY0.8199999836$1.00
09-20 08:47Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.5899998951$2.70
09-20 08:45Flávio Bolsonaro participates in debate before first round?BUY0.4218222722$15.00