PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xd4d318b2D64630f62f2dbE0b12132A149abE1b0b-1769622265858

0xd4d318b2d64630f62f2dbe0b12132a149abe1b0b

Realised P&L
$441.05
Volume
$13.6k
Markets traded
183
Open portfolio
$1.4k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.3%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded183
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration96.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.8800.962$1.4k+$115.67
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-16? · No0.7400.755$3.06+$0.06
CA Platense vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 2.5 · Over0.3401.000$2.94+$1.94
CR Vasco da Gama vs. Independiente Santa Fe: O/U 2.5 · Under0.5401.000$1.85+$0.85
Deportivo Tachira vs. Academia Puerto Cabello: Deportivo Tachira O/U 1.5 · Over0.3800.615$1.62+$0.62
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-09-15? · No0.6701.000$1.49+$0.49
Will CDT Real Oruro win on 2026-09-15? · No0.7001.000$1.43+$0.43
Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-2.5) · Bayer 04 Leverkusen0.4800.505$1.05+$0.05
Exact Score: Vanraure Hachinohe FC 1 - 0 Tegevajaro Miyazaki? · No0.9000.925$1.03+$0.03
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-16? · Yes0.4400.445$1.01+$0.01
Racing Club vs. CA Sarmiento: O/U 0.5 · Over0.9000.910$1.01+$0.01
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-09-16? · No0.5000.505$1.01+$0.01
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score · No0.3400.340$1.00+$0.00
CA Osasuna vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 4.5 · Over0.1100.110$1.00+$0.00
Athletic Club vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 4.5 · Over0.1200.120$1.00+$0.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 08:22Biella: Gerard Campana Lee vs Carlos TabernerBUY0.649999805$1.00
09-15 08:20Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles vs. Saitama Seibu LionsBUY0.5099998215$1.00
09-15 08:18UFC 331: Alonzo Menifield vs. Iwo Baraniewski (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)BUY0.3299998944$1.00
09-15 08:18Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs. Hiroshima CarpBUY0.5$1.00
09-15 08:16Stoiana vs. Liu: Match O/U 22.5BUY0.4599997976$1.00
09-15 08:14Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-20?BUY0.4499998425$1.00
09-15 08:14Valencia: Clara Burel vs Maria Aran Teixido GarciaBUY0.8699999913$1.00
09-15 08:14Biella: Gabriele Piraino vs Samuele PieriBUY0.5199999792$1.00
09-15 08:14Spread: Miami (FL) (-20.5)BUY0.5199999792$1.00
09-15 08:13UFC 331: Ozzy Diaz vs. Ryan Gandra (Middleweight, Early Prelims)BUY0.1899999962$1.00
09-15 08:13KBO: Kia Tigers vs. SSG LandersBUY0.469999906$1.00
09-15 08:12Ljubljana: Lucie Havlickova vs Aurora ZantedeschiBUY0.64$1.00
09-15 08:11Orix Buffaloes vs. Fukuoka SoftBank HawksBUY0.7199999424$1.00
09-15 08:11Guadalajara Open Akron: Sloane Stephens vs Janice TjenBUY0.4$1.00
09-15 08:10Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19?BUY0.5699999886$1.00