ivanveter
0xd4ca2e8a8093d7b780dc031b491ac6d056b5691f
- Realised P&L
- $-2.6k
- Volume
- $22.9k
- Markets traded
- 116
- Open portfolio
- $6.02
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-11.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded116
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration89.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? · No | 0.942 | 0.987 | $2.37 | +$0.11 |
| Will Trump say "Healthcare" during his Midterm Rally in Alaska? · Yes | 0.973 | 0.959 | $2.03 | −$0.03 |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No | 0.956 | 0.896 | $1.62 | −$0.11 |
| Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026? · No | 0.840 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.67 |
| Braves vs. Marlins · Braves | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.19 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.920 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.17 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? · No | 0.955 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.19 |
| Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the February Meeting? · Yes | 0.740 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.10 |
| Hawks vs. Wizards · Hawks | 0.820 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.17 |
| Canucks vs. Capitals · Capitals | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.39 |
| Hellenic Championship: Alexandre Muller vs Jan-Lennard Struff · Struff | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.48 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$428.57at 0.700Blue Jays vs. Rockies
- +$29.65at 0.880US forces enter Iran by March 14?
- +$2.66at 0.530Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?
- +$2.40at 0.998Cavaliers vs. Jazz
- +$2.17at 0.400Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-05-18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 20:09 | Will Trump say "Healthcare" during his Midterm Rally in Alaska? | BUY | 0.9729999981 | $2.06 |
| 10-02 19:06 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.90 |
| 09-17 20:49 | Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in September? | BUY | 0.8299999755 | $2.03 |
| 09-07 18:42 | Los Angeles Angels vs. Boston Red Sox | BUY | 0.96 | $1.22 |
| 08-22 12:33 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.663 | $1.27 |
| 08-22 12:32 | Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? | BUY | 0.9729996804 | $2.18 |
| 08-05 14:28 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9439999917 | $1.82 |
| 07-26 19:23 | Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 92m? | BUY | 0.88 | $2.26 |
| 07-15 10:30 | President Trump to Attend World Cup Final? | BUY | 0.95 | $2.40 |
| 07-15 10:29 | Will XRP reach $1.20 in July? | SELL | 0.43 | $0.60 |
| 07-04 21:27 | Will XRP reach $1.20 in July? | BUY | 0.859999699 | $1.20 |
| 06-26 18:18 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.919999983 | $2.17 |
| 06-26 18:17 | Will global art market sales hit $65 billion for 2026? | SELL | 0.63 | $1.91 |
| 06-26 18:15 | Will global art market sales hit $65 billion for 2026? | BUY | 0.89 | $2.70 |
| 06-26 18:15 | Will Doug Mason win The Bachelorette Season 22? | SELL | 0.177 | $0.34 |