PolyBot

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Traders

TheBud

0xd4c7a880a646a24080256d0e8f984ee4a6289f6a

Realised P&L
$322.95
Volume
$14.3k
Markets traded
192
Open portfolio
$1.8k

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded192
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-08 10:59Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?BUY0.79$47.40
09-08 10:10Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?BUY0.7$21.49
09-08 10:09Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?BUY0.69$3.45
09-08 10:03Trump renames New Mexico to New America by September 30, 2026?BUY0.94$56.40
09-07 10:57Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31SELL0.73$66.51
08-29 12:57US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?BUY0.45$13.50
08-20 15:52US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?BUY0.49$34.30
08-20 15:50US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?BUY0.53$10.60
08-20 15:50US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?BUY0.53$26.50
08-01 07:55US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?BUY0.67$60.30
08-01 07:55US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.91$63.70
07-31 06:23Will Trump not endorse a Party in the 2026 Israeli Election?BUY0.3$12.00
07-13 05:51Israel military action against Greater Beirut by July 31?BUY0.72$36.00
07-05 08:44 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?BUY0.72$43.19
07-04 09:28 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?BUY0.71$56.80