KIRILLOF
0xd4c3371f569acaf08f454267845ad29bf91be8f3
- Realised P&L
- $-15.12
- Volume
- $31.68
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $0.35
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-47.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Google have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of December 2026? · Yes | 0.097 | 0.034 | $0.35 | −$0.65 |
| US imports Russian diesel by October 31? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-10.06at 0.845Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 04:07 | Will Google have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.0969999939 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 04:01 | US imports Russian diesel by October 31? | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 13:43 | Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8399999933 | $10.00 |
| 09-30 13:43 | Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.699999916 | $5.00 |