0xd48f891da406425764bcc7741989fc6e075ed444
- Realised P&L
- $-69.16
- Volume
- $13.2k
- Markets traded
- 67
- Open portfolio
- $59.54
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded67
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample39 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)12.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.07at 0.139Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$0.07at 0.680Will Sweden qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$0.05at 0.968Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament?
- +$0.04at 0.961Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 Masters tournament?
- +$0.00at 0.969Will Collin Morikawa win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-17 14:41 | Exact Score: Chelsea FC 3 - 0 Paris Saint-Germain FC? | BUY | 0.9789999954 | $2.97 |
| 03-17 14:31 | Exact Score: Chelsea FC 3 - 2 Paris Saint-Germain FC? | BUY | 0.9739999954 | $2.94 |
| 03-17 10:38 | Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $1.88 |
| 03-17 10:38 | Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.9809998078 | $3.96 |
| 03-17 10:38 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.9349999901 | $1.88 |
| 03-17 10:38 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.9809998078 | $3.96 |
| 03-17 10:38 | Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $1.88 |
| 03-17 10:29 | Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30? | SELL | 0.32 | $2.56 |
| 03-17 10:29 | Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? | SELL | 0.32901 | $3.29 |
| 03-17 10:29 | Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30? | SELL | 0.32 | $2.56 |
| 03-17 10:29 | Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? | SELL | 0.33 | $3.30 |
| 03-17 10:29 | Will MrBeast hit 475 Million subscribers by March 31? | SELL | 0.13 | $1.95 |
| 03-17 10:29 | Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30? | SELL | 0.32 | $2.56 |
| 03-17 10:29 | Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90%? | SELL | 0.0628333333 | $2.83 |
| 03-17 10:29 | Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? | SELL | 0.33 | $2.97 |