rdlc
0xd4852f712d3a702d36ee61a418dee72ac308d69d
- Realised P&L
- $-29.22
- Volume
- $4.7k
- Markets traded
- 285
- Open portfolio
- $14.44
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded285
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$29.62at 0.041Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
- +$16.72at 0.148Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$11.49at 0.080Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in November?
- +$9.97at 0.235Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic
- +$8.40at 0.626Will France win on 2026-07-09?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-06 19:48 | Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-09-06? | BUY | 0.2099998677 | $1.00 |
| 09-04 23:11 | Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-09-06? | BUY | 0.5499999587 | $4.00 |
| 08-16 20:39 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.33999983 | $1.00 |
| 08-16 20:37 | Will Racing Club De Lens win on 2026-08-16? | SELL | 0.87 | $6.08 |
| 08-16 20:37 | Will Racing Club De Lens vs. Paris Saint-Germain end in a draw? | SELL | 0.15 | $0.72 |
| 08-16 20:35 | Will Racing Club De Lens win on 2026-08-16? | BUY | 0.8199998969 | $7.00 |
| 08-16 20:29 | Will Racing Club De Lens vs. Paris Saint-Germain end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3499998775 | $1.00 |
| 08-16 20:29 | Will Racing Club De Lens win on 2026-08-16? | BUY | 0.5499999633 | $3.00 |
| 08-16 08:51 | Will Racing Club De Lens vs. Paris Saint-Germain end in a draw? | BUY | 0.239999856 | $1.00 |
| 08-16 08:48 | Prague: Andrej Martin vs Saba Purtseladze | BUY | 0.5099999566 | $2.00 |
| 08-16 08:47 | Prague: Eduardo Ribeiro vs Andrew Paulson | BUY | 0.5099999983 | $3.00 |
| 07-19 21:59 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.9399999981 | $10.00 |
| 07-19 21:10 | Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score | SELL | 0.002 | $0.02 |
| 07-19 21:10 | Exact Score: Spain 0 - 1 Argentina? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.46 |
| 07-19 21:05 | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.01 |