Saltyballs
0xd46be610a32e5c6ee094977e3caf9ab89c525dab
- Realised P&L
- $180.2k
- Volume
- $10.02M
- Markets traded
- 858
- Open portfolio
- $24.8k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded858
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$27.1kat 0.157US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
- +$26.4kat 0.499Israel military response against Iran by Friday?
- +$25.1kat 0.742Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before April?
- +$23.9kat 0.610Israel military response against Iran in October?
- +$22.0kat 0.250US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 19:56 | Miami (FL) vs. Notre Dame: O/U 58.5 | BUY | 0.51 | $153.00 |
| 11-01 14:46 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | BUY | 0.8299999999 | $2.0k |
| 11-01 14:45 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5? | SELL | 0.9 | $1.1k |
| 11-01 14:43 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 1? | SELL | 0.9931823492 | $571.35 |
| 11-01 14:42 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | BUY | 0.68 | $7.0k |
| 11-01 14:42 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | BUY | 0.83 | $3.0k |
| 11-01 14:06 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5? | BUY | 0.9090304395 | $8.0k |
| 11-01 14:06 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6? | BUY | 0.8584271504 | $1.4k |
| 11-01 02:55 | Will Ohio St. Make the 2026-27 CFB Playoffs? | BUY | 0.5566666667 | $167.00 |
| 10-30 06:25 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2? | SELL | 0.061 | $1.24 |
| 10-30 06:24 | Iran full airspace closure by December 31? | BUY | 0.36 | $68.44 |
| 10-30 06:23 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.29 | $495.17 |
| 10-29 21:05 | Iran full airspace closure by December 31? | BUY | 0.36 | $10.80 |
| 10-29 21:05 | Iran full airspace closure by December 31? | BUY | 0.3548714553 | $245.00 |
| 10-29 20:44 | Will Jeremiah Smith win the 2026 Heisman Trophy? | SELL | 0.56 | $100.50 |