Kingofhenorth1
0xd46be610a32e5c6ee094977e3caf9ab89c525dab
- Realised P&L
- $177.2k
- Volume
- $9.70M
- Markets traded
- 794
- Open portfolio
- $10.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded794
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration73.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$27.1kat 0.157US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
- +$26.4kat 0.499Israel military response against Iran by Friday?
- +$25.1kat 0.742Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before April?
- +$23.9kat 0.610Israel military response against Iran in October?
- +$22.0kat 0.250US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 10:57 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | BUY | 0.8899999993 | $381.00 |
| 09-15 10:33 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.79 | $790.00 |
| 09-15 10:31 | Will LSU Tigers win the 2027 CFP National Championship? | SELL | 0.102 | $58.14 |
| 09-14 06:22 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.7799999999 | $1.5k |
| 09-13 19:07 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.76 | $598.02 |
| 09-13 16:41 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.76 | $4.4k |
| 09-13 16:40 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | SELL | 0.89 | $4.0k |
| 09-13 16:39 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 15? | SELL | 0.9750267336 | $227.22 |
| 09-10 21:13 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | BUY | 0.8399999994 | $117.00 |
| 09-10 21:13 | Will Alabama make College Football Playoff Semifinals? | SELL | 0.875 | $87.50 |
| 09-10 21:12 | Will Texas make College Football Playoff Semifinals? | SELL | 0.61 | $30.50 |
| 09-10 21:10 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | BUY | 0.8399999999 | $476.00 |
| 09-10 21:09 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 15? | BUY | 0.8925331873 | $208.00 |
| 09-10 21:08 | Florida A&M vs. Miami (FL): O/U 58.5 | BUY | 0.2999999994 | $100.00 |
| 09-09 22:59 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | BUY | 0.8599999998 | $2.5k |