KrackenSruster
0xd44e974a3edb232aa4aedbdcc59792b76a5f67e2
- Realised P&L
- $321.4k
- Volume
- $7.93M
- Markets traded
- 849
- Open portfolio
- $294.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded849
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.1kat 0.707Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?
- +$14.0kat 0.261US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
- +$12.6kat 0.377US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
- +$11.2kat 0.331US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
- +$10.6kat 0.496Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 15:55 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | SELL | 0.3160191792 | $400.40 |
| 09-13 14:02 | Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.5950420021 | $170.00 |
| 09-12 20:01 | Will Russia enter Preobrazhenka by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.102245 | $51.12 |
| 09-12 18:11 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.2851809186 | $604.04 |
| 09-12 15:34 | Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31? | BUY | 0.4504659994 | $4.9k |
| 09-12 10:28 | Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8588725973 | $482.00 |
| 09-12 09:33 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? | SELL | 0.2887873333 | $433.18 |
| 09-12 09:29 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.6 | $35.24 |
| 09-12 09:11 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 15? | BUY | 0.6630606476 | $259.00 |
| 09-11 14:44 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.28 | $681.80 |
| 09-09 16:30 | Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31? | BUY | 0.9515800897 | $3.5k |
| 09-08 21:11 | Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9804070137 | $539.57 |
| 09-08 21:09 | Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5026130319 | $4.2k |
| 09-08 21:04 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6 | $2.8k |
| 09-08 18:22 | Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6139701009 | $52.00 |