PolyBot

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Traders

KrackenSruster

0xd44e974a3edb232aa4aedbdcc59792b76a5f67e2

Realised P&L
$321.4k
Volume
$7.93M
Markets traded
849
Open portfolio
$294.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.1%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded849
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration53.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration12.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 15:55Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?SELL0.3160191792$400.40
09-13 14:02Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by December 31, 2026?SELL0.5950420021$170.00
09-12 20:01Will Russia enter Preobrazhenka by October 31, 2026?SELL0.102245$51.12
09-12 18:11Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?SELL0.2851809186$604.04
09-12 15:34Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?BUY0.4504659994$4.9k
09-12 10:28Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8588725973$482.00
09-12 09:33Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?SELL0.2887873333$433.18
09-12 09:29US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?SELL0.6$35.24
09-12 09:11Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 15?BUY0.6630606476$259.00
09-11 14:44Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?SELL0.28$681.80
09-09 16:30Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?BUY0.9515800897$3.5k
09-08 21:11Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026?SELL0.9804070137$539.57
09-08 21:09Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.5026130319$4.2k
09-08 21:04US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?BUY0.6$2.8k
09-08 18:22Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?BUY0.6139701009$52.00