0xd44c919a655a007BCEE15777C76B00cD3D8828C5-1768498912368
0xd44c919a655a007bcee15777c76b00cd3d8828c5
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $65.0k
- Markets traded
- 5,061
- Open portfolio
- $96.19
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded5,061
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration19.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$134.98at 0.100Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 24, 2026?
- +$133.91at 0.230US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$103.57at 0.403Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?
- +$97.94at 0.170Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 21?
- +$84.77at 0.469Israel military action against Iranian Power Plant by April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-06 11:55 | LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs | SELL | 0.49 | $2.45 |
| 09-04 23:06 | Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on September 7? | BUY | 0.34 | $1.70 |
| 09-04 15:27 | Counter-Strike: Imperial vs ALKA (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: South American Open Qualifier #1 Playoffs | SELL | 0.07 | $0.35 |
| 09-03 23:32 | Will Frances Tiafoe advance to the Round of 16 in Men's Singles at the 2026 US Open? | BUY | 0.39 | $1.95 |
| 09-03 23:31 | Will Ben Shelton advance to the Round of 16 in Men's Singles at the 2026 US Open? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.20 |
| 09-03 11:21 | Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 August 31-September 6? | SELL | 0.92 | $35.88 |
| 09-03 11:00 | Will Paide Linnameeskond vs. FCI Levadia Tallinn end in a draw? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.20 |
| 09-03 06:52 | Exact Score: Chicago Fire FC 1 - 1 Vancouver Whitecaps FC? | SELL | 0.09 | $0.90 |
| 09-03 00:31 | Will CD Malacateco vs. CSD Suchitepéquez end in a draw? | BUY | 0.26 | $1.30 |
| 09-02 20:53 | Will Eva Bender win the next Hannover Region presidential election? | SELL | 0.27 | $1.35 |
| 09-02 05:03 | Will Fujieda MYFC vs. Vanraure Hachinohe FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3 | $1.50 |
| 09-02 01:08 | Will Patrick Roath be the Democratic nominee for MA-08? | SELL | 0.93 | $2.33 |
| 08-30 21:53 | Will Patrick Roath be the Democratic nominee for MA-08? | SELL | 0.81 | $2.03 |
| 08-30 02:59 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.69 | $3.45 |
| 08-28 06:07 | Will the Republican Party win the MT-01 House seat? | SELL | 0.58 | $2.32 |