kriptomagduru
0xd432b28c72b20bfef0fa02aeff12ff4444dfce2d
- Realised P&L
- $1.0k
- Volume
- $129.4k
- Markets traded
- 210
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded210
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration88.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.519 | 0.495 | $1.1k | −$52.24 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.251 | 0.185 | $81.67 | −$29.32 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.175 | 0.095 | $54.39 | −$45.61 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 20? · No | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 20? · No | 0.398 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in August? · Yes | 0.265 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · No | 0.392 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$519.38 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in August? · Yes | 0.154 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$968.45at 0.837Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$400.60at 0.852Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June?
- +$342.42at 0.778Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$135.06at 0.940Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
- +$134.67at 0.598Will France win on 2026-06-26?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 08:16 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.13 | $10.40 |
| 09-15 09:41 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.13 | $13.00 |
| 09-14 12:52 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.21 | $10.50 |
| 09-12 08:17 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2199999974 | $10.00 |
| 09-11 19:12 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2 | $10.00 |
| 09-11 14:43 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2099999983 | $20.00 |
| 09-05 16:04 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5099999985 | $100.00 |
| 09-05 16:03 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.49 | $98.00 |
| 09-05 16:02 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5 | $100.00 |
| 09-03 17:03 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5899999991 | $200.00 |
| 09-03 17:02 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5376344086 | $100.00 |
| 09-02 18:24 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.22 | $11.00 |
| 09-02 18:23 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.42 | $10.01 |
| 08-28 17:44 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4799999808 | $5.00 |
| 08-23 10:41 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5191718914 | $1000.00 |