PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xd419f180eff7b2e94ada2e8f4449e962f9a8824e

Realised P&L
$7.23
Volume
$258.41
Markets traded
74
Open portfolio
$8.32

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.8%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded74
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 11:05Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026?BUY0.6599997888$1.00
09-14 15:04Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $177 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.4299998882$1.00
09-14 07:03Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $117.50 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.5199999792$1.00
09-13 23:02Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $336 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.6599997888$1.00
09-13 13:35Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?BUY0.2099999895$1.00
09-13 05:18Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?BUY0.3399999388$1.00
09-12 20:45Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.8$1.00
09-12 11:11Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026?BUY0.74$1.00
09-12 03:02Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?BUY0.2099999895$1.00
09-10 12:54Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.3799999924$1.00
09-10 04:47Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?BUY0.7899998657$1.00
09-09 19:42Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?BUY0.29999994$1.00
09-09 11:42Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?BUY0.64$1.00
09-09 03:34Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?BUY0.2799999664$1.00
09-08 19:00Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in August?BUY0.469999906$1.00