PolyBot

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Traders

0xd41408b49ca233ecc234dd1d6973243c13a9929d

0xd41408b49ca233ecc234dd1d6973243c13a9929d

Realised P&L
$-12.29
Volume
$104.75
Markets traded
33
Open portfolio
$4.44

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-11.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded33
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample28 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)39.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $184 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes0.4000.535$1.34+$0.34
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $360 Week of October 5 2026? · No0.6300.810$1.29+$0.29
Israel military action against Lebanon on October 8? · Yes0.7900.870$1.10+$0.10
Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026? · Yes0.4100.225$0.55−$0.45
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 4? · No0.4600.075$0.16−$0.84

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 08:17Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $184 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.4$1.00
10-04 23:10Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $360 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.6299998362$1.00
10-03 02:14Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 4?BUY0.4599997976$1.00
10-02 14:38Israel military action against Lebanon on October 8?BUY0.7899998657$1.00
10-02 14:16Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026?BUY0.4099998975$1.00
10-02 06:03S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 2?BUY0.3299998944$1.00
10-01 11:55WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 1?BUY0.7899998657$1.00
10-01 03:55S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 1?BUY0.78$1.00
09-30 18:50Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026?BUY0.7099998509$1.00
09-30 10:19S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 30?BUY0.4299998882$1.00
09-30 02:14SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 30?BUY0.3499999825$1.00
09-28 17:12Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $64 Week of September 28 2026?BUY0.3399999388$1.00
09-27 20:48Trump renames AI by September 30?BUY0.2799999664$1.00
09-27 06:12Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in September?BUY0.559999776$1.00
09-26 21:28Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 in September?BUY0.549999945$1.00