sabsabinxz
0xd3ecb2aee0d65622da559ff356b00e8c2e626603
- Realised P&L
- $85.2k
- Volume
- $1.14M
- Markets traded
- 172
- Open portfolio
- $137.4k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar7.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded172
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.6kat 0.621Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
- +$13.8kat 0.607Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
- +$9.9kat 0.707Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
- +$9.0kat 0.732Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
- +$6.9kat 0.605Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 02:51 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | BUY | 0.95 | $1.9k |
| 11-02 02:42 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 in November? | BUY | 0.16 | $23.96 |
| 11-02 02:41 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,100 in November? | BUY | 0.35 | $38.50 |
| 11-02 02:36 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by November 30? | BUY | 0.93 | $112.56 |
| 11-02 02:34 | Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.58 | $17.30 |
| 11-02 00:09 | Will the Republican Party win the TN-09 House seat? | BUY | 0.84 | $2.5k |
| 11-02 00:04 | Will the Republican Party win the NC-14 House seat? | BUY | 0.8213546357 | $1.2k |
| 11-01 23:56 | Will the Republican Party win the FL-26 House seat? | BUY | 0.86 | $2.6k |
| 11-01 18:15 | Anthropic IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.91 | $2.5k |
| 11-01 18:14 | Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.5793335071 | $400.11 |
| 11-01 14:38 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in November? | BUY | 0.91 | $197.16 |
| 10-31 23:58 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $330.07 |
| 10-31 17:49 | Will at least 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9093071355 | $26.38 |
| 10-31 16:49 | Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.948 | $948.00 |
| 10-31 16:48 | Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.5875457143 | $2.1k |