oparb99
0xd3c9e5ee2103321829a457af725d11224a584634
- Realised P&L
- $-8.81
- Volume
- $64.4k
- Markets traded
- 97
- Open portfolio
- $145.54
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded97
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.97at 0.690Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$5.75at 0.005Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- +$4.57at 0.005Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- +$4.44at 0.005Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- +$4.42at 0.602Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 10:07 | Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.994 | $21.87 |
| 09-27 10:06 | Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $21.91 |
| 09-27 10:06 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in September? | BUY | 0.998 | $22.95 |
| 09-27 10:06 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $32.97 |
| 09-27 10:05 | Will Ethereum hit $4k by September 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.47 | $10.34 |
| 09-27 10:05 | Will Bitcoin hit $100k by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.82 | $16.40 |
| 09-27 10:04 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.71 | $32.58 |
| 06-06 19:15 | Solana all time high by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $30.88 |
| 06-06 19:14 | Ethereum all time high by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $32.90 |
| 06-06 19:14 | Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $32.93 |
| 06-06 19:14 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.28 | $9.80 |
| 06-06 19:13 | Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.993 | $43.69 |
| 05-20 15:42 | Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.994 | $43.74 |
| 05-20 15:41 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May? | BUY | 0.998 | $143.71 |
| 05-20 15:41 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May? | BUY | 0.997 | $32.90 |