PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

oparb99

0xd3c9e5ee2103321829a457af725d11224a584634

Realised P&L
$-8.81
Volume
$64.4k
Markets traded
97
Open portfolio
$145.54

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded97
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in September? · No0.9991.000$33.00+$0.03
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3020.585$25.80+$12.50
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in September? · No0.9981.000$23.00+$0.05
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9960.997$21.93+$0.02
Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9940.996$21.90+$0.03
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.8200.665$13.30−$3.10
Will Ethereum hit $4k by September 30, 2027? · Yes0.4700.300$6.60−$3.74
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January? · No0.9210.000$0.00−$7.52
Will BNB dip to $800 in January? · No0.7700.000$0.00−$7.70
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET · Down0.1700.000$0.00−$1.87
Will Drake be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2025? · Yes0.9100.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET · Up0.0600.000$0.00−$0.66
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025? · Yes0.8600.000$0.00−$7.74

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-27 10:07Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.994$21.87
09-27 10:06Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.996$21.91
09-27 10:06Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in September?BUY0.998$22.95
09-27 10:06Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in September?BUY0.999$32.97
09-27 10:05Will Ethereum hit $4k by September 30, 2027?BUY0.47$10.34
09-27 10:05Will Bitcoin hit $100k by December 31, 2027?BUY0.82$16.40
09-27 10:04Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.71$32.58
06-06 19:15Solana all time high by June 30, 2026?BUY0.996$30.88
06-06 19:14Ethereum all time high by June 30, 2026?BUY0.997$32.90
06-06 19:14Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?BUY0.998$32.93
06-06 19:14Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.28$9.80
06-06 19:13Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.993$43.69
05-20 15:42Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.994$43.74
05-20 15:41Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?BUY0.998$143.71
05-20 15:41Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?BUY0.997$32.90