0xd3c5b65dcc44a3e830a9fa3b594c6f840041df83
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 81
- Open portfolio
- $1.80
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- ClearMarkets traded81
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration69.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.001 | $1.25 | −$16.25 |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.002 | $0.30 | −$13.70 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.003 | $0.25 | −$18.75 |
| Clavicular pregnancy in 2026? · No | 0.040 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| James Comey charges dropped by May 31? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| James Comey arrested by April 30? · No | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru · Royal Challengers Bengaluru | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.50 |
| James Comey arrested by May 15? · No | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.00 |
| James Comey arrested by April 29? · No | 0.138 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$129.61at 0.349Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
- +$116.80at 0.279Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Kolkata Knight Riders
- +$85.00at 0.150Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
- +$80.46at 0.442Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET
- +$75.35at 0.192Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-30 15:59 | Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru | BUY | 0.15 | $13.50 |
| 04-29 13:47 | James Comey arrested by April 30? | BUY | 0.089999996 | $20.00 |
| 04-29 13:46 | James Comey arrested by April 29? | BUY | 0.1383399155 | $20.00 |
| 04-29 05:57 | James Comey arrested by May 15? | BUY | 0.13 | $13.00 |
| 04-28 18:56 | Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.07 | $14.00 |
| 04-28 18:55 | Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.19 | $19.00 |
| 04-28 18:51 | Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.007 | $17.50 |
| 04-26 10:33 | Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Gujarat Titans | BUY | 0.24 | $22.91 |
| 04-16 15:00 | Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Punjab Kings | BUY | 0.36 | $17.31 |
| 03-02 10:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET | SELL | 0.97 | $24.25 |
| 03-02 10:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 03-02 10:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $48.44 |
| 03-02 10:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $2.00 |
| 03-02 10:08 | Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs? | SELL | 0.2128559142 | $106.42 |
| 03-02 10:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET | BUY | 0.48 | $93.01 |