PolyBot

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Traders

0xd3c19e4692023b4de0d65fc795b51a8d0ce5cb67

0xd3c19e4692023b4de0d65fc795b51a8d0ce5cb67

Realised P&L
$-1.28
Volume
$216.73
Markets traded
55
Open portfolio
$8.16

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded55
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample47 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)59.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · No0.6500.950$3.35+$1.06
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? · No0.6000.957$1.59+$0.59
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? · No0.6400.835$1.30+$0.30
Will Interactive Brokers (IBKR) Q3 net interest income be above $1.1B? · Yes0.6700.650$0.97−$0.03
Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 Innovative Medicine revenue be above $16.6B? · Yes0.7200.680$0.94−$0.06

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-11 03:07Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 Innovative Medicine revenue be above $16.6B?BUY0.7199999424$1.00
10-10 06:24Will Interactive Brokers (IBKR) Q3 net interest income be above $1.1B?BUY0.6699999196$1.00
10-08 17:32Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $260 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.7599999088$1.00
10-08 13:08WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on October 8?BUY0.3399999388$1.00
10-08 04:09Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?BUY0.64$1.00
10-07 18:22Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $340 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.649999805$1.00
10-07 10:19SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 7?BUY0.59999988$1.00
10-07 02:19Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $72 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.64$1.00
10-06 18:19Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $185 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.7899998657$1.00
10-06 09:51Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?BUY0.59999988$1.00
10-06 01:49Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $375 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.7$1.00
10-05 16:41S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on October 5?BUY0.7289998622$1.00
10-05 00:26Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $367.50 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.7299998102$1.00
10-01 10:21Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?BUY0.64$1.00
09-27 12:12OpenAI resets Codex weekly limit on September 29?BUY0.5299998463$1.00