light821
0xd3a78e37d6c6ec95b8d06809eebff3f6b5454cd5
- Realised P&L
- $-10.52
- Volume
- $1.5k
- Markets traded
- 98
- Open portfolio
- $8.19
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded98
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample28 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)85.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.03at 0.073Will Solana reach $110 in August?
- +$6.90at 0.138Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in August?
- +$4.92at 0.180Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in September?
- +$4.80at 0.201Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in August?
- +$3.68at 0.264Will Solana reach $100 in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 14:16 | Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in November? | BUY | 0.09 | $1.08 |
| 11-01 14:16 | Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in November? | BUY | 0.21 | $1.05 |
| 11-01 14:15 | Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in November? | BUY | 0.31 | $1.55 |
| 11-01 14:14 | Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in November? | BUY | 0.09 | $1.08 |
| 11-01 14:13 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in November? | BUY | 0.15 | $1.50 |
| 11-01 14:12 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in November? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.25 |
| 10-08 05:50 | Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in October? | BUY | 0.037 | $1.11 |
| 10-08 05:48 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October? | SELL | 0.68 | $1.65 |
| 10-07 10:21 | Will Ethereum reach $3,300 in October? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 10:18 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in October? | BUY | 0.21 | $1.05 |
| 10-07 10:18 | Will Ethereum reach $3,100 in October? | BUY | 0.12 | $1.08 |
| 10-02 13:15 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 13:14 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in October? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 07:10 | Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in October? | BUY | 0.23 | $1.15 |
| 09-16 10:05 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in September? | BUY | 0.17 | $1.02 |