PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

light821

0xd3a78e37d6c6ec95b8d06809eebff3f6b5454cd5

Realised P&L
$-10.52
Volume
$1.5k
Markets traded
98
Open portfolio
$8.19

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded98
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample28 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)85.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in November? · Yes0.1500.165$1.65+$0.15
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in November? · Yes0.3100.315$1.57+$0.03
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in November? · Yes0.2500.275$1.38+$0.13
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in November? · Yes0.0900.105$1.26+$0.18
Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in November? · Yes0.2100.205$1.02−$0.03
Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in November? · Yes0.0900.085$1.02−$0.06
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? · Yes0.0700.024$0.28−$0.54
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00−$1.14
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0140.000$0.00−$1.12
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June? · Yes0.0310.000$0.00−$1.02
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in October? · Yes0.0370.000$0.00−$1.11
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on April 23? · Yes0.1070.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00−$1.02
Mavericks vs. Pistons · Mavericks0.2800.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 14:16Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in November?BUY0.09$1.08
11-01 14:16Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in November?BUY0.21$1.05
11-01 14:15Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in November?BUY0.31$1.55
11-01 14:14Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in November?BUY0.09$1.08
11-01 14:13Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in November?BUY0.15$1.50
11-01 14:12Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in November?BUY0.25$1.25
10-08 05:50Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in October?BUY0.037$1.11
10-08 05:48Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?SELL0.68$1.65
10-07 10:21Will Ethereum reach $3,300 in October?BUY0.05$1.00
10-07 10:18Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in October?BUY0.21$1.05
10-07 10:18Will Ethereum reach $3,100 in October?BUY0.12$1.08
10-02 13:15Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?BUY0.4099998975$1.00
10-02 13:14Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in October?BUY0.6099998597$1.00
10-02 07:10Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in October?BUY0.23$1.15
09-16 10:05Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in September?BUY0.17$1.02