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Traders

operationcastle

0xd3a6e523c440f94f9259398fbcf7b5cc5ccffd55

Realised P&L
$552.1k
Volume
$16.57M
Markets traded
1,031
Open portfolio
$20.7k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.3%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
CautionMarkets traded1,031
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration15.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.6500.715$7.1k+$649.99
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.9710.990$3.6k+$68.01
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.2200.605$2.6k+$1.7k
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0350.048$1.5k+$397.05
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · Yes0.2640.140$1.5k$1.3k
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0570.097$1.5k+$594.10
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · No0.4500.535$1.4k+$222.47
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.9830.999$1.1k+$16.43
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? · No0.5380.165$276.08$623.53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? · Yes0.1000.006$130.00$1.9k
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.1700.380$16.16+$8.92
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.5550.001$1.81$2.0k
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$1.3k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-26 00:27Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?BUY0.6614077638$162.20
08-18 02:22Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?BUY0.888$4.9k
08-05 03:46Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?BUY0.1399905022$3.3k
08-05 03:46Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?BUY0.1399994115$3.5k
08-04 20:07Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?BUY0.5376544627$899.61
08-04 00:26Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July?BUY0.2809153299$1.1k
08-04 00:26Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July?BUY0.29$188.50
06-10 02:22Will Nirav Shah win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?BUY0.7$3.2k
06-10 02:10Will Nirav Shah win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?BUY0.7999865594$4.8k
06-10 01:21Will Nirav Shah win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?BUY0.72$7.58
06-10 00:56Will Nirav Shah win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?BUY0.58$212.89
06-10 00:56Will Nirav Shah win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?BUY0.58$212.89
06-10 00:56Will Nirav Shah win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?BUY0.5899671432$727.21
06-09 01:27Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY0.835$83.50
06-08 04:06Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?SELL0.44$437.36