0xd38b7ca8163fdf82d0309a4cbc88bd44b01e5a89
0xd38b7ca8163fdf82d0309a4cbc88bd44b01e5a89
- Realised P&L
- $-3.7k
- Volume
- $79.1k
- Markets traded
- 89
- Open portfolio
- $568.40
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded89
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$633.91at 0.136Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?
- +$453.81at 0.835Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev
- +$302.46at 0.618Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?
- +$250.23at 0.747Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$221.63at 0.338Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-28 22:54 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.2459999991 | $200.00 |
| 07-24 00:53 | Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.1229333011 | $100.00 |
| 07-19 22:01 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.9973344749 | $173.98 |
| 07-19 21:41 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.6099999991 | $233.88 |
| 07-19 19:54 | Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.9299999999 | $943.56 |
| 07-15 20:25 | Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2849999988 | $100.00 |
| 07-15 20:20 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? | SELL | 0.8819678747 | $1.8k |
| 07-15 19:46 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.7471176728 | $769.49 |
| 07-15 19:29 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.7199999999 | $700.00 |
| 07-14 21:06 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.5719999943 | $89.20 |
| 07-14 20:36 | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.2668558155 | $93.63 |
| 07-13 14:15 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July? | BUY | 0.8 | $187.50 |
| 07-13 14:12 | France vs. Spain: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.8625 | $1.5k |
| 07-13 14:09 | Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0501703706 | $100.00 |
| 07-13 14:09 | Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0344073709 | $100.00 |