PolyBot

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Traders

0xd38b7ca8163fdf82d0309a4cbc88bd44b01e5a89

0xd38b7ca8163fdf82d0309a4cbc88bd44b01e5a89

Realised P&L
$-3.7k
Volume
$79.1k
Markets traded
89
Open portfolio
$568.40

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded89
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July? · No0.8001.000$234.38+$46.88
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0970.099$203.09+$3.09
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.1230.044$36.20−$63.80
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0250.026$26.50+$1.50
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0160.021$25.53+$6.53
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.2700.183$16.99−$8.01
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1900.122$16.12−$8.88
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · Yes0.2300.025$5.54−$44.46
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes0.2100.024$2.80−$22.20
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.1800.004$1.25−$48.75
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00−$92.00
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00−$50.00
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.2460.000$0.00−$200.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3890.000$0.00−$300.00
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00−$100.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-28 22:54Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.2459999991$200.00
07-24 00:53Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.1229333011$100.00
07-19 22:01Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.9973344749$173.98
07-19 21:41Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.6099999991$233.88
07-19 19:54Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5BUY0.9299999999$943.56
07-15 20:25Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?BUY0.2849999988$100.00
07-15 20:20Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?SELL0.8819678747$1.8k
07-15 19:46Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?BUY0.7471176728$769.49
07-15 19:29Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?BUY0.7199999999$700.00
07-14 21:06Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.5719999943$89.20
07-14 20:36Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.2668558155$93.63
07-13 14:15Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?BUY0.8$187.50
07-13 14:12France vs. Spain: O/U 4.5BUY0.8625$1.5k
07-13 14:09Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0501703706$100.00
07-13 14:09Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0344073709$100.00