0xD385f648c97B02d5252E7A616e8958c5b81bDD8A-1779811022356
0xd385f648c97b02d5252e7a616e8958c5b81bdd8a
- Realised P&L
- $-17.07
- Volume
- $8.7k
- Markets traded
- 142
- Open portfolio
- $136.97
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded142
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$29.40at 0.412Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?
- +$27.32at 0.495Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?
- +$20.00at 0.170Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
- +$16.68at 0.539Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
- +$15.01at 0.700Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.60 and $2.90 on June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-31 11:10 | Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $2.00T and $2.25T? | BUY | 0.25 | $0.03 |
| 08-24 21:59 | Will it rain in Boston, MA on August 24? | BUY | 0.82 | $4.10 |
| 08-24 21:42 | Will it rain in Boston, MA on August 24? | BUY | 0.8711402509 | $7.64 |
| 08-23 23:45 | Will it rain in Philadelphia, PA on August 23? | BUY | 0.45 | $9.00 |
| 08-23 23:42 | Will it rain in Philadelphia, PA on August 23? | BUY | 0.2483333333 | $8.94 |
| 08-23 23:15 | Will it rain in Philadelphia, PA on August 23? | BUY | 0.55 | $11.00 |
| 08-23 22:53 | Will it rain in New York, NY on August 23? | BUY | 0.072273 | $2.89 |
| 08-23 22:45 | Will Austin, TX face tornado risk on August 23? | SELL | 0.06 | $1.20 |
| 08-23 14:29 | Will it rain in Philadelphia, PA on August 23? | BUY | 0.48 | $21.72 |
| 08-23 14:25 | Will it rain in New York, NY on August 23? | BUY | 0.39 | $7.80 |
| 08-23 14:24 | Will it rain in Philadelphia, PA on August 23? | BUY | 0.47 | $9.40 |
| 08-22 15:29 | Will it rain in Chicago, IL on August 22? | BUY | 0.51 | $10.20 |
| 08-17 14:03 | Will the Republican Party win the MI-07 House seat? | SELL | 0.35 | $3.50 |
| 08-17 14:02 | Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat? | SELL | 0.49 | $9.80 |
| 08-17 14:02 | Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election? | SELL | 0.56 | $11.20 |