0xd34cde3e156df6bc6c9f8fc89525a0c8b0af61ff
- Realised P&L
- $-323.25
- Volume
- $2.3k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $106.38
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-14.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)16.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · No | 0.490 | 0.325 | $48.75 | −$24.75 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.065 | $39.00 | −$225.00 |
| Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? · Yes | 0.316 | 0.135 | $18.63 | −$24.91 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$128.31at 0.487Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on March 6?
- +$0.00at 0.500Zuffa Boxing 4: Ochoa vs. Serrano (Lightweight, Prelims)
- +$-11.78at 0.690Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?
- +$-25.12at 0.251Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?
- +$-27.44at 0.640Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-18 10:57 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.44 | $88.00 |
| 03-18 10:57 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.44 | $88.00 |
| 03-18 10:57 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.44 | $88.00 |
| 03-15 20:52 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15? | BUY | 0.37 | $74.00 |
| 03-15 20:52 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15? | BUY | 0.37 | $74.00 |
| 03-15 20:52 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15? | BUY | 0.37 | $74.00 |
| 03-15 09:46 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15? | BUY | 0.64 | $106.24 |
| 03-06 04:49 | Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on March 6? | BUY | 0.5 | $25.00 |
| 03-06 04:49 | Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on March 6? | BUY | 0.5 | $25.00 |
| 03-06 04:48 | Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on March 6? | BUY | 0.5 | $25.00 |
| 03-06 04:48 | Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on March 6? | BUY | 0.473768 | $23.69 |
| 03-06 04:48 | Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on March 6? | BUY | 0.46 | $23.00 |
| 03-06 03:36 | Zuffa Boxing 4: Ochoa vs. Serrano (Lightweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.5 | $25.00 |
| 03-06 03:36 | Zuffa Boxing 4: Ochoa vs. Serrano (Lightweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.5 | $25.00 |
| 03-06 03:24 | Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $32.00 |