PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Dizzyb

0xd34295f5273c999dd331b0a0df223fef2701f602

Realised P&L
$1.3k
Volume
$6.3k
Markets traded
43
Open portfolio
$99.87

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar20.2%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded43
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration37.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample38 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration81.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.8240.817$81.65−$0.75
Will the Democrats win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.9810.997$12.52+$0.19
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1800.029$5.70−$30.30
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00−$1.20
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? · No0.2840.000$0.00−$42.56
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00−$22.00
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? · No0.0100.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-24 21:27Will the Democrats win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026?BUY0.9809999993$12.33
10-24 21:27NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?BUY0.9785552004$11.00
09-19 07:03Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September?BUY0.9909999996$12.73
09-19 07:02Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?BUY0.9769999555$10.00
09-19 07:02Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.997$10.00
08-14 03:51Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?BUY0.95$11.87
08-14 03:49Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?BUY0.992$9.92
08-14 03:48Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026?BUY0.98$9.80
07-12 03:26New "Stranger Things" episode released by July 31? BUY0.996999936$11.33
07-12 03:25Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July?BUY0.999$10.00
07-12 03:25Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.999$10.00
06-07 20:24Trump out as President by June 30?BUY0.994$30.81
05-03 05:52Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?BUY0.984$9.84
05-03 05:51Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?BUY0.996$9.96
05-03 05:51Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?BUY0.975$9.75