Dizzyb
0xd34295f5273c999dd331b0a0df223fef2701f602
- Realised P&L
- $1.3k
- Volume
- $6.3k
- Markets traded
- 43
- Open portfolio
- $99.87
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar20.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded43
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample38 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration81.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No | 0.824 | 0.817 | $81.65 | −$0.75 |
| Will the Democrats win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.981 | 0.997 | $12.52 | +$0.19 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.029 | $5.70 | −$30.30 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.20 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? · No | 0.284 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$42.56 |
| Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$22.00 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? · No | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$504.00at 0.440Kings vs. Wizards
- +$345.00at 0.310UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)
- +$231.01at 0.230Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
- +$123.20at 0.120US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$62.77at 0.686Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-24 21:27 | Will the Democrats win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.9809999993 | $12.33 |
| 10-24 21:27 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9785552004 | $11.00 |
| 09-19 07:03 | Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September? | BUY | 0.9909999996 | $12.73 |
| 09-19 07:02 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | BUY | 0.9769999555 | $10.00 |
| 09-19 07:02 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.997 | $10.00 |
| 08-14 03:51 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $11.87 |
| 08-14 03:49 | Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.992 | $9.92 |
| 08-14 03:48 | Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.98 | $9.80 |
| 07-12 03:26 | New "Stranger Things" episode released by July 31? | BUY | 0.996999936 | $11.33 |
| 07-12 03:25 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.00 |
| 07-12 03:25 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.00 |
| 06-07 20:24 | Trump out as President by June 30? | BUY | 0.994 | $30.81 |
| 05-03 05:52 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May? | BUY | 0.984 | $9.84 |
| 05-03 05:51 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May? | BUY | 0.996 | $9.96 |
| 05-03 05:51 | Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | BUY | 0.975 | $9.75 |