0xD324e20e3462d859a2913C5bfD162Ed7F9Aeb23c-1773152871743
0xd324e20e3462d859a2913c5bfd162ed7f9aeb23c
- Realised P&L
- $-12.5k
- Volume
- $2.01M
- Markets traded
- 444
- Open portfolio
- $900.87
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded444
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration70.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.2kat 0.714US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
- +$1.4kat 0.645Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
- +$1.4kat 0.794US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
- +$1.3kat 0.362Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
- +$1.1kat 0.621Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 18:58 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1799999986 | $5.00 |
| 10-03 18:57 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1799999986 | $5.00 |
| 10-03 14:41 | Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy) | SELL | 0.83 | $5.46 |
| 10-03 14:41 | Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.54 | $39.57 |
| 10-03 05:58 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4799999962 | $20.00 |
| 10-03 05:50 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4779999907 | $20.00 |
| 10-03 05:50 | Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? | BUY | 0.8599999983 | $10.00 |
| 10-03 05:49 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.6439998982 | $2.00 |
| 10-03 05:49 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.643999967 | $5.00 |
| 10-03 05:48 | Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 5, 2026? | SELL | 0.9867753899 | $56.94 |
| 10-03 05:47 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 19:58 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.07 | $1.50 |
| 10-02 18:51 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.6099999913 | $7.00 |
| 10-02 18:50 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | SELL | 0.2 | $3.13 |
| 10-02 18:50 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.17 | $3.48 |