wqbj67
0xd30ecd9b0e2b570bfa805d473f9501b568512a29
- Realised P&L
- $-827.90
- Volume
- $5.9k
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $123.91
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-14.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration90.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No | 0.628 | 0.625 | $62.55 | −$0.30 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No | 0.962 | 0.989 | $49.42 | +$1.32 |
| Will the Democrats win the Virginia Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.992 | 0.993 | $11.94 | +$0.01 |
| US government shutdown Saturday? · No | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$224.00 |
| Magic vs. Spurs · Magic | 0.359 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$143.49 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? · No | 0.312 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$93.50 |
| US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.00 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.50 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? · No | 0.033 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.84 |
| Kings vs. Wizards · Kings | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$285.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$105.15at 0.500US forces enter Iran by March 14?
- +$8.40at 0.958Starmer out by February 28, 2026?
- +$0.40at 0.996Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
- +$0.40at 0.964Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
- +$0.31at 0.969Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-24 21:37 | Will the Democrats win the Virginia Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.992 | $11.93 |
| 09-19 06:48 | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30? | BUY | 0.9959999521 | $11.73 |
| 08-14 04:02 | Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9919999682 | $11.48 |
| 07-12 03:13 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.989 | $11.15 |
| 06-08 00:27 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | BUY | 0.964 | $10.60 |
| 05-03 05:38 | Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | BUY | 0.975 | $9.75 |
| 04-07 00:19 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April? | BUY | 0.968 | $9.66 |
| 04-07 00:18 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.6285489 | $62.85 |
| 04-07 00:16 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | BUY | 0.962 | $48.10 |
| 03-27 20:29 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March? | BUY | 0.997 | $66.80 |
| 03-27 20:28 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March? | BUY | 0.998 | $99.80 |
| 03-27 20:28 | Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 03-27 20:27 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.50 |
| 03-27 20:27 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31? | BUY | 0.997 | $99.70 |
| 03-27 20:26 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $99.80 |