mkk555
0xd30017b2f98265f77632242b0f278bc3bf4430ad
- Realised P&L
- $-25.9k
- Volume
- $242.8k
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $3.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-10.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration87.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.223 | 0.226 | $2.8k | +$36.68 |
| Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.027 | 0.022 | $226.05 | −$49.62 |
| Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.026 | 0.015 | $179.25 | −$121.75 |
| Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31? · Yes | 0.596 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.1k |
| Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31? · Yes | 0.281 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.2k |
| Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by November 30? · Yes | 0.267 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$224.96 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.918US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
- +$1.1kat 0.832Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?
- +$535.29at 0.905Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?
- +$183.68at 0.724Will Russia capture Siversk by December 22?
- +$126.94at 0.870Will Hyperliquid hit $70 in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 18:45 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.224 | $123.20 |
| 09-16 18:33 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.225 | $24.75 |
| 09-16 18:32 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.225 | $73.98 |
| 09-16 18:32 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.224 | $97.39 |
| 09-16 18:31 | Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.027983 | $139.91 |
| 09-16 18:31 | Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.027 | $29.03 |
| 09-16 18:31 | Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.033 | $63.05 |
| 09-16 18:31 | Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.0319958425 | $82.81 |
| 09-16 18:31 | Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.029 | $2.84 |
| 09-16 18:31 | Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.0265805527 | $11.50 |
| 09-16 18:29 | Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.0267913248 | $44.41 |
| 09-16 18:29 | Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.0257218388 | $48.22 |
| 09-16 18:29 | Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.0221570748 | $17.21 |
| 09-16 18:29 | Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.0188305085 | $22.22 |
| 09-16 18:29 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.2328810347 | $450.16 |