PolyBot

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Traders

lioijnnn

0xd2dbdf25a86a809ac7fce7cab2d437c57a60f400

Realised P&L
$1.8k
Volume
$154.8k
Markets traded
20
Open portfolio
$224.51

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded20
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration59.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample19 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration53.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? · Yes0.1500.095$119.51$69.19
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.0730.052$105.00$41.00
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner · Anyone's Legend0.3400.000$0.00$26.24
Hawks vs. Timberwolves · Hawks0.3800.000$0.00$1.5k
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 23, 2026? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00$910.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-27 06:26Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.21$67.20
06-27 06:23Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.21$63.00
06-27 06:21Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.21$56.70
06-27 06:19Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.21$53.55
04-10 12:54LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.15$11.27
03-25 13:06Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?SELL0.5$5.00
03-25 07:41Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?BUY0.51$484.50
03-19 09:17Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.618$0.06
01-30 03:12Will Israel strike Gaza on January 31, 2026?SELL0.67$7.4k
01-30 03:10Will Israel strike Gaza on January 31, 2026?BUY0.67$7.4k
01-30 03:08Will Israel strike Gaza on January 31, 2026?SELL0.67$6.1k
01-30 03:07Will Israel strike Gaza on January 31, 2026?BUY0.67$6.1k
01-30 03:05Will Israel strike Gaza on January 31, 2026?SELL0.32$3.0k
01-30 03:04Will Israel strike Gaza on January 31, 2026?BUY0.32$3.0k
01-30 03:03Will Israel strike Gaza on January 31, 2026?SELL0.32$3.0k