0xd2cc61f5f4c99ef55ba3575936fed8aace935735
0xd2cc61f5f4c99ef55ba3575936fed8aace935735
- Realised P&L
- $-1.10
- Volume
- $268.22
- Markets traded
- 65
- Open portfolio
- $6.39
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded65
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strike on Colombia by December 31? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.145 | $1.44 | −$0.65 |
| Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.720 | 0.949 | $1.32 | +$0.32 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? · No | 0.780 | 1.000 | $1.28 | +$0.28 |
| Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $150 Week of September 28 2026? · No | 0.710 | 0.866 | $1.22 | +$0.22 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of September 28 2026? · Yes | 0.510 | 0.475 | $0.93 | −$0.07 |
| Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of September 28 2026? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.050 | $0.20 | −$0.80 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.95at 0.260US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
- +$4.38at 0.329S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 5?
- +$4.24at 0.330US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
- +$3.83at 0.359SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 23?
- +$3.36at 0.389SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 19:52 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 09:45 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 30? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 01:19 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 16:48 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $150 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 20:40 | Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.07% in September? | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 10:20 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 02:18 | Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 07:23 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | BUY | 0.7799995632 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 21:15 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 in September? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 13:10 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 25? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 04:50 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 20:31 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 12:26 | Will Trump say "Economy" or "Economic" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 04:25 | Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.7199999449 | $2.09 |
| 09-23 08:21 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 23? | BUY | 0.3499999749 | $2.09 |