0xd2cc61f5f4c99ef55ba3575936fed8aace935735
- Realised P&L
- $-0.26
- Volume
- $40.46
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $15.65
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.720 | 1.000 | $2.90 | +$0.81 |
| Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $132 Week of August 3 2026? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.997 | $2.89 | +$0.80 |
| Will Trump say "Waitress" during remarks in Las Vegas? · No | 0.220 | 0.230 | $2.19 | +$0.10 |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · No | 0.780 | 0.815 | $2.18 | +$0.09 |
| Will Fidelity Information Services (FIS) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.740 | 0.720 | $2.03 | −$0.06 |
| Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $600 Week of August 3 2026? · No | 0.800 | 0.520 | $1.36 | −$0.73 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No | 0.740 | 0.405 | $1.14 | −$0.95 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.380 | 0.330 | $0.99 | −$0.15 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.00at 0.500Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?
- +$-0.04at 0.510New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?
- +$-0.04at 0.510New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 09:29 | Will Trump say "Waitress" during remarks in Las Vegas? | BUY | 0.22 | $2.09 |
| 08-04 01:29 | Will Fidelity Information Services (FIS) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.7399999929 | $2.09 |
| 08-03 17:29 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $132 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.72 | $2.09 |
| 08-03 09:28 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $600 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.09 |
| 08-02 21:08 | Israel closes its airspace by August 31? | BUY | 0.7799999701 | $2.09 |
| 08-02 00:06 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.7399999929 | $2.09 |
| 08-01 16:03 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.72 | $2.09 |
| 08-01 07:59 | Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.38 | $1.14 |
| 07-31 23:58 | New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5099999264 | $2.08 |
| 07-31 15:57 | New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5099999264 | $2.08 |
| 07-31 07:45 | Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.53 |