PolyBot

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Traders

totonnyy

0xd2c245b77346e0a9f3f2c6d367ceb10e78fa51a9

Realised P&L
$-370.24
Volume
$14.0k
Markets traded
114
Open portfolio
$93.00

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded114
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration9.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? · No0.8740.854$37.10$0.90
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2500.665$26.60+$16.60
Hasan Piker arrested in 2026? · Yes0.0510.115$11.20+$6.20
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · No0.3600.360$10.00+$0.00
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · No0.5000.405$8.10$1.90
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-01-19? · Yes0.5100.000$0.00$20.00
Will Trump and Mamdani not shake hands on November 21 2025? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00$4.35
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 24? · Up0.9300.000$0.00$167.68
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-01-24? · No0.7800.000$0.00$20.00
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-24? · Yes0.5500.000$0.00$20.00
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 13? · Down0.8700.000$0.00$18.61
Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00$20.00
Will the government shutdown end November 12? · Yes0.7200.000$0.00$50.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET · Down0.5070.000$0.00$85.17
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-01-20? · No0.8600.000$0.00$40.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-11 14:00Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.81$28.00
09-10 17:31S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 10?BUY0.99$28.00
09-10 09:26Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?BUY0.25$10.00
09-10 09:26Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?SELL0.8$38.48
09-09 18:58Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.7899999971$38.00
09-09 18:54Hasan Piker arrested in 2026?BUY0.0511351005$5.00
09-03 21:262026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.5$10.00
08-30 07:45Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?BUY0.8742102085$38.00
08-30 07:44Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?BUY0.9316943884$50.00
08-30 07:43Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?BUY0.359999987$10.00
07-18 22:10France vs. England: Team to WinBUY0.9369999992$60.00
07-18 22:07France vs. England: Team to WinSELL0.032$0.94
07-18 19:19Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago CubsBUY0.9099999993$50.00
07-18 19:12Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.5974999942$20.00
07-18 19:12France vs. England: Team to WinBUY0.6799999946$20.00