totonnyy
0xd2c245b77346e0a9f3f2c6d367ceb10e78fa51a9
- Realised P&L
- $-370.24
- Volume
- $14.0k
- Markets traded
- 114
- Open portfolio
- $93.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded114
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$39.68at 0.720Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-01-20?
- +$37.09at 0.350Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-01-18?
- +$19.92at 0.750Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-24?
- +$17.22at 0.895S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 20?
- +$16.90at 0.885S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-11 14:00 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.81 | $28.00 |
| 09-10 17:31 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 10? | BUY | 0.99 | $28.00 |
| 09-10 09:26 | Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $10.00 |
| 09-10 09:26 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.8 | $38.48 |
| 09-09 18:58 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.7899999971 | $38.00 |
| 09-09 18:54 | Hasan Piker arrested in 2026? | BUY | 0.0511351005 | $5.00 |
| 09-03 21:26 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 08-30 07:45 | Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | BUY | 0.8742102085 | $38.00 |
| 08-30 07:44 | Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31? | BUY | 0.9316943884 | $50.00 |
| 08-30 07:43 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.359999987 | $10.00 |
| 07-18 22:10 | France vs. England: Team to Win | BUY | 0.9369999992 | $60.00 |
| 07-18 22:07 | France vs. England: Team to Win | SELL | 0.032 | $0.94 |
| 07-18 19:19 | Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago Cubs | BUY | 0.9099999993 | $50.00 |
| 07-18 19:12 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5974999942 | $20.00 |
| 07-18 19:12 | France vs. England: Team to Win | BUY | 0.6799999946 | $20.00 |