PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

82c5

0xd2bffaac374c38bb17251edd82bee23965fdf980

Realised P&L
$-1.7k
Volume
$158.3k
Markets traded
215
Open portfolio
$511.12

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded215
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration53.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first? · $1400.0500.554$275.34+$250.39
Anthropic IPO before 2027? · Yes0.6520.850$91.83+$21.42
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.5130.831$83.04+$31.75
Discord IPO before 2027? · Yes0.5780.105$29.95$134.84
Stripe IPO before 2027? · No0.9300.953$12.37+$0.30
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.9330.970$6.93+$0.26
Databricks IPO before 2027? · Yes0.1970.050$4.37$12.97
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch? · Yes0.0710.066$2.88$0.26
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.1050.070$2.58$1.28
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · No0.8900.998$1.12+$0.12
OKX IPO in 2026? · Yes0.1200.055$0.55$0.65
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0900.009$0.15$1.48
Will Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? · Yes0.0960.000$0.00$28.45
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01? · Yes0.9100.000$0.00$3.2k
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19? · Yes0.0420.000$0.00$4.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-23 17:22Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-08-23?BUY0.97$16.49
07-12 03:48Enzo Fernández: 1+ shotsBUY0.99$5.93
07-12 03:29Lautaro Martínez: 1+ shotsBUY0.99$49.50
07-12 03:28Lautaro Martínez: 1+ shotsBUY0.98$196.00
07-12 03:15Lautaro Martínez: 1+ shotsBUY0.99$247.50
07-12 03:10Lisandro Martínez: 1+ shotsBUY0.9717398038$37.65
07-12 03:09Lisandro Martínez: 1+ shotsBUY0.9822997508$55.19
07-12 03:00Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?BUY0.95$95.00
07-12 03:00Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?BUY0.93$93.00
07-12 02:59Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?BUY0.93$93.00
07-12 02:59Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?BUY0.8975$89.75
07-12 02:58Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?BUY0.8575$28.90
07-12 02:57Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?BUY0.85$85.00
07-12 02:57Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?BUY0.8275$4.13
07-12 02:56Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?BUY0.795$79.50