82c5
0xd2bffaac374c38bb17251edd82bee23965fdf980
- Realised P&L
- $-1.7k
- Volume
- $158.3k
- Markets traded
- 215
- Open portfolio
- $511.12
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded215
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.0kat 0.495Will Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw?
- +$1.6kat 0.554Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?
- +$1.5kat 0.455Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?
- +$1.3kat 0.737Paraguay vs. France: Team to Advance
- +$1.0kat 0.521Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-23 17:22 | Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-08-23? | BUY | 0.97 | $16.49 |
| 07-12 03:48 | Enzo Fernández: 1+ shots | BUY | 0.99 | $5.93 |
| 07-12 03:29 | Lautaro Martínez: 1+ shots | BUY | 0.99 | $49.50 |
| 07-12 03:28 | Lautaro Martínez: 1+ shots | BUY | 0.98 | $196.00 |
| 07-12 03:15 | Lautaro Martínez: 1+ shots | BUY | 0.99 | $247.50 |
| 07-12 03:10 | Lisandro Martínez: 1+ shots | BUY | 0.9717398038 | $37.65 |
| 07-12 03:09 | Lisandro Martínez: 1+ shots | BUY | 0.9822997508 | $55.19 |
| 07-12 03:00 | Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw? | BUY | 0.95 | $95.00 |
| 07-12 03:00 | Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw? | BUY | 0.93 | $93.00 |
| 07-12 02:59 | Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw? | BUY | 0.93 | $93.00 |
| 07-12 02:59 | Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw? | BUY | 0.8975 | $89.75 |
| 07-12 02:58 | Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw? | BUY | 0.8575 | $28.90 |
| 07-12 02:57 | Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw? | BUY | 0.85 | $85.00 |
| 07-12 02:57 | Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw? | BUY | 0.8275 | $4.13 |
| 07-12 02:56 | Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw? | BUY | 0.795 | $79.50 |