0xc25Db4A21782E04143b9a1A81B402F905bEFb6e8-1769625679117
0xd2be7aa9cebc6f8f19bc3105a879c7f1aac33989
- Realised P&L
- $-5.25
- Volume
- $314.00
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $9.35
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration25.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)85.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026? · Yes | 0.840 | 0.785 | $9.35 | −$0.65 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.31at 0.746Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
- +$9.78at 0.756Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?
- +$9.70at 0.757Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026?
- +$5.11at 0.855GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?
- +$3.09at 0.765Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 20:25 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.8399999933 | $10.00 |
| 08-06 14:14 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 16:29 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $30.00 |
| 07-24 16:43 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.8678672163 | $20.00 |
| 07-07 17:52 | Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.7599999878 | $10.00 |
| 07-07 13:46 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.739999997 | $30.00 |
| 07-07 13:37 | GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.8499999986 | $30.00 |
| 06-23 14:45 | GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.0892250923 | $4.35 |
| 06-18 16:39 | Will Canada win on 2026-06-18? | BUY | 0.75 | $30.00 |
| 06-18 16:38 | GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.8199999893 | $40.00 |