PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0xc25Db4A21782E04143b9a1A81B402F905bEFb6e8-1769625679117

0xd2be7aa9cebc6f8f19bc3105a879c7f1aac33989

Realised P&L
$-5.25
Volume
$314.00
Markets traded
9
Open portfolio
$9.35

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded9
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
ClearProfit concentration25.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)85.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026? · Yes0.8400.785$9.35−$0.65
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.8000.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-02 20:25Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?BUY0.8399999933$10.00
08-06 14:14Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026?BUY0.8$10.00
08-04 16:29Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.75$30.00
07-24 16:43Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 24, 2026?BUY0.8678672163$20.00
07-07 17:52Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to AdvanceBUY0.7599999878$10.00
07-07 13:46Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?BUY0.739999997$30.00
07-07 13:37GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?BUY0.8499999986$30.00
06-23 14:45GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?SELL0.0892250923$4.35
06-18 16:39Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?BUY0.75$30.00
06-18 16:38GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?BUY0.8199999893$40.00