0xd2b7fb8e8830d3e665b0a9f630429d44e9c85ea6
0xd2b7fb8e8830d3e665b0a9f630429d44e9c85ea6
- Realised P&L
- $4.00
- Volume
- $1.3k
- Markets traded
- 39
- Open portfolio
- $8.27
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded39
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample38 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)71.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.375 | $3.75 | −$0.15 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.495 | $2.80 | +$0.03 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in September? · Yes | 0.610 | 0.345 | $1.73 | −$1.32 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.75at 0.700Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?
- +$3.76at 0.868Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on June 9?
- +$2.20at 0.510Will Saudi Arabia finish last in Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
- +$2.15at 0.357Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 7?
- +$1.10at 0.945Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 21:20 | Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4899999328 | $2.77 |
| 09-30 21:13 | Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in September? | BUY | 0.61 | $3.05 |
| 09-30 21:09 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.39 | $3.90 |
| 06-23 01:10 | Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22? | SELL | 0.983 | $53.69 |
| 06-23 01:08 | Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22? | BUY | 0.9878169353 | $53.96 |
| 06-23 00:49 | Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw? | BUY | 0.239999856 | $1.00 |
| 06-23 00:48 | Will France win on 2026-06-22? | SELL | 0.999 | $21.25 |
| 06-23 00:24 | France vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.6799999728 | $5.00 |
| 06-23 00:22 | Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw? | SELL | 0.3 | $5.36 |
| 06-22 23:40 | Will France win on 2026-06-22? | BUY | 0.9399999831 | $20.00 |
| 06-22 22:06 | Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22? | SELL | 0.991 | $49.18 |
| 06-22 20:25 | Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22? | SELL | 0.31 | $5.34 |
| 06-22 15:30 | Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22? | BUY | 0.975 | $48.39 |
| 06-22 13:10 | Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2799999731 | $5.00 |
| 06-22 13:09 | Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22? | BUY | 0.289999964 | $5.00 |