PolyBot

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Traders

0xd2b7fb8e8830d3e665b0a9f630429d44e9c85ea6

0xd2b7fb8e8830d3e665b0a9f630429d44e9c85ea6

Realised P&L
$4.00
Volume
$1.3k
Markets traded
39
Open portfolio
$8.27

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded39
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample38 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)71.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration45.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.3900.375$3.75−$0.15
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4900.495$2.80+$0.03
Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in September? · Yes0.6100.345$1.73−$1.32

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-30 21:20Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.4899999328$2.77
09-30 21:13Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in September?BUY0.61$3.05
09-30 21:09Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.39$3.90
06-23 01:10Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22?SELL0.983$53.69
06-23 01:08Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22?BUY0.9878169353$53.96
06-23 00:49Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw?BUY0.239999856$1.00
06-23 00:48Will France win on 2026-06-22?SELL0.999$21.25
06-23 00:24France vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5BUY0.6799999728$5.00
06-23 00:22Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw?SELL0.3$5.36
06-22 23:40Will France win on 2026-06-22?BUY0.9399999831$20.00
06-22 22:06Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22?SELL0.991$49.18
06-22 20:25Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22?SELL0.31$5.34
06-22 15:30Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22?BUY0.975$48.39
06-22 13:10Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw?BUY0.2799999731$5.00
06-22 13:09Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22?BUY0.289999964$5.00