0xd282e90750f88922cf28fa889486b51bd2e3a206
- Realised P&L
- $-1.6k
- Volume
- $24.1k
- Markets traded
- 232
- Open portfolio
- $2.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded232
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$319.20at 0.200NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on March 9?
- +$148.96at 0.290Will Iran strike Mina Al-Ahmadi Refinery by March 31?
- +$132.69at 0.500Will "Massacre" be said during the Valorant Masters Grand Finals?
- +$103.24at 0.550Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by March 13?
- +$102.00at 0.490Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-13 13:25 | Brancaccio vs. Marcinko: Match O/U 21.5 | BUY | 0.001 | $0.23 |
| 04-13 13:00 | Rinderknech vs. Michelsen: Match O/U 21.5 | BUY | 0.001 | $0.23 |
| 04-13 12:46 | Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $5.59 |
| 04-13 12:17 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $5.59 |
| 04-13 12:00 | Set 1 Winner: Buse vs Moutet | BUY | 0.001 | $0.23 |
| 04-11 06:03 | Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix? | SELL | 0.49 | $73.50 |
| 04-11 06:03 | Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix? | SELL | 0.49 | $73.50 |
| 04-11 06:03 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June? | SELL | 0.9 | $180.00 |
| 04-08 00:35 | Will Rabby launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.67 | $10.15 |
| 04-08 00:35 | Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? | SELL | 0.65 | $130.00 |
| 04-08 00:35 | Dreamcash FDV above $50M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.65 | $146.70 |
| 04-08 00:10 | Will MVK Esports qualify for EWC 2026? | BUY | 0.41 | $1.58 |
| 04-08 00:10 | Will MVK Esports qualify for EWC 2026? | BUY | 0.41 | $19.77 |
| 04-04 22:52 | Will Inter Milan qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League? | BUY | 0.2 | $9.52 |
| 04-04 21:33 | Will Inter Milan qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League? | BUY | 0.2 | $9.52 |