dinosaurx
0xd2806f025683559ec975db1755a178f155be0d07
- Realised P&L
- $58.27
- Volume
- $1.0k
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $107.23
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$96.72at 0.172Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$0.02at 0.991Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 14:40 | Will Gold have the best performance in 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $4.05 |
| 10-18 14:40 | Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $9.00 |
| 10-18 14:40 | Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $31.50 |
| 10-18 14:36 | Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate? | SELL | 0.015 | $0.15 |
| 10-18 14:31 | Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate? | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 14:31 | Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? | BUY | 0.053 | $2.12 |
| 10-18 14:30 | Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate? | BUY | 0.322 | $12.88 |
| 10-18 14:30 | Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? | BUY | 0.596 | $23.84 |
| 10-11 14:40 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.990999996 | $1.98 |
| 10-11 14:32 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.14 | $4.20 |
| 10-11 14:32 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.35 | $10.50 |
| 10-11 14:31 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.419 | $12.57 |
| 07-07 16:29 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1399135634 | $19.42 |
| 06-13 11:07 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1609999934 | $18.03 |
| 06-13 11:06 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.167 | $18.95 |