PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

zlq

0xd262d789681dd5366aa253120d285eee3d99c312

Realised P&L
$203.23
Volume
$38.4k
Markets traded
689
Open portfolio
$101.47

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded689
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? · No0.8160.799$39.97−$0.82
Will Anthropic IPO by November 19, 2026? · Yes0.4100.450$22.50+$2.00
Will Anthropic IPO by November 25, 2026? · No0.2300.205$20.50−$2.50
Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026? · No0.4300.370$18.50−$3.00
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.5340.000$0.00−$16.55
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026? · No0.5100.000$0.00−$25.50
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET · Down0.5960.000$0.00−$3.00
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? · Yes0.3900.000$0.00−$5.85
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET · Up0.5100.000$0.00−$2.54
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes0.5200.000$0.00−$16.12
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? · Yes0.7100.000$0.00−$27.68
Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00−$24.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET · Down0.6100.000$0.00−$2.85
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET · Up0.4800.000$0.00−$2.45
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET · Up0.5700.000$0.00−$2.75

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 09:14Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026?BUY0.43$21.50
11-01 09:14Will Anthropic IPO by November 19, 2026?BUY0.41$20.50
07-18 21:38Will France vs. England end in a draw?BUY0.08$4.00
07-18 21:10Will England win on 2026-07-18?BUY0.61$18.30
07-18 21:06Will France win on 2026-07-18?BUY0.39$11.70
07-18 21:05France vs. England: Team to WinBUY0.57$17.10
07-18 21:05Will France win on 2026-07-18?BUY0.39$11.70
07-18 21:05Will France vs. England end in a draw?BUY0.25$5.00
07-18 21:02France vs. England: Team to WinBUY0.62$14.26
07-18 21:02Will France win on 2026-07-18?BUY0.45$14.40
07-16 18:46Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.108$3.34
07-16 18:42Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.583$23.32
07-15 11:54England vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5BUY0.1125$9.00
07-12 00:15Spread: Argentina (-1.5)BUY0.6975$13.95
07-09 17:50Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 1:50PM-1:55PM ETBUY0.6099999819$2.70