Baz777
0xd257b13d37cf53a6b0e4725b20c1b83cd1c7bb3b
- Realised P&L
- $-22.86
- Volume
- $2.6k
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $176.26
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes | 0.960 | 0.978 | $101.82 | +$1.82 |
| Will OpenAI have the best Image Edit AI at the end of September 2026? · Yes | 0.970 | 0.983 | $48.62 | +$0.62 |
| Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.305 | $24.40 | −$15.60 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September? · Yes | 0.013 | 0.018 | $1.42 | +$0.42 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET · Down | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET · Up | 0.021 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET · Up | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET · Up | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET · Up | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET · Up | 0.040 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.80at 0.427Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET
- +$-1.06at 0.117Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET
- +$-1.06at 0.074Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET
- +$-1.07at 0.032Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
- +$-1.07at 0.001Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 23:59 | Will OpenAI have the best Image Edit AI at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.969999982 | $48.00 |
| 09-13 23:57 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.9599999969 | $100.00 |
| 09-13 23:28 | Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting? | BUY | 0.5 | $40.00 |
| 09-13 23:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET | BUY | 0.04 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 23:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET | BUY | 0.109999989 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 23:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET | BUY | 0.3299999489 | $2.00 |
| 09-13 22:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 22:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET | BUY | 0.4099999816 | $2.00 |
| 09-13 22:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET | BUY | 0.0699999965 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 22:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 22:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 21:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET | BUY | 0.0299999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 21:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 21:43 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September? | BUY | 0.013 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 20:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |