HenryConiglio
0xd254f7cfb43278c6b1a4995df446e075514e6c3a
- Realised P&L
- $0.00
- Volume
- $93.89
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $5.54
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- ClearOpen concentration18.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.573 | 0.588 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win 39% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.880 | 0.900 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No | 0.590 | 0.585 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.329 | 0.303 | $0.92 | −$0.08 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No | 0.340 | 0.295 | $0.87 | −$0.13 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win less than 30% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.012 | 0.009 | $0.71 | −$0.29 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 04:16 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 04:16 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.3289999651 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 04:15 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.5899997404 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 04:14 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.5729999009 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 04:13 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win 39% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8799997184 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 04:13 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win less than 30% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0119999999 | $1.00 |