lentaxyz
0xd252e4839a15f2fc39570351f46061b7a2fd751f
- Realised P&L
- $138.08
- Volume
- $1.8k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $296.60
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar7.9%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration69.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.800 | 0.765 | $145.35 | −$6.65 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes | 0.670 | 0.615 | $141.45 | −$12.65 |
| Saxony-Anhalt snap election called in 2026? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.245 | $9.80 | +$4.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$96.50at 0.517Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
- +$26.24at 0.645Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET
- +$15.34at 0.859Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
- +$0.00at 0.360Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 22:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $100.00 |
| 10-04 22:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET | SELL | 0.82 | $130.48 |
| 10-04 22:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET | BUY | 0.6284289258 | $100.00 |
| 10-04 22:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $116.46 |
| 10-04 22:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET | BUY | 0.8499999996 | $100.00 |
| 10-04 19:54 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.67 | $154.10 |
| 10-04 19:44 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $152.00 |