PolyBot

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Traders

BiDiFakePolls

0xd24b95551eb288ff82bb625dcd7f32f62abdef76

Realised P&L
$37.1k
Volume
$1.11M
Markets traded
251
Open portfolio
$70.9k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.3%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded251
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration9.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · No0.8660.945$6.9k+$581.18
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.6980.695$6.2k$29.80
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.5870.595$6.0k+$80.03
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.7250.745$5.6k+$149.00
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.5230.575$5.2k+$465.10
Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? · Yes0.4271.000$4.5k+$2.6k
Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win less than 27% of all valid votes? · No0.7071.000$3.3k+$954.05
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? · No0.2481.000$3.2k+$2.4k
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.4430.541$2.7k+$488.45
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? · Yes0.1960.275$2.5k+$715.21
Will Moderate Party (M) win between 18% and 20% of all valid votes? · Yes0.4930.998$2.1k+$1.1k
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? · Yes0.6480.645$1.9k$9.64
Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win between 18% and 20% of all valid votes? · No0.5330.996$1.8k+$839.42
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6950.705$1.4k+$20.00
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.5900.585$1.2k$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 22:582026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.61$915.00
09-16 22:582026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.61$305.00
09-16 22:512026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.61$305.00
09-16 19:452026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.59$295.00
09-16 19:442026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.59$590.00
09-16 19:41Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: Grüne Over/Under 5%?BUY0.46$32.25
09-16 19:40Will Grüne win between 3% and 5% of all valid second votes?BUY0.33$330.00
09-16 19:40Will Grüne win between 3% and 5% of all valid second votes?BUY0.33$165.00
09-16 19:38Will AfD win the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election by a margin of 2-5%?BUY0.64$134.40
09-16 19:35Will BSW win less than 3% of all valid second votes?BUY0.1021406041$19.11
09-16 19:34Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: SPD Over/Under 28%?BUY0.91$652.66
09-16 19:33Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: SPD Over/Under 28%?BUY0.9037674817$168.92
09-16 19:32Will Linke win between 11% and 14% of all valid second votes?BUY0.81$26.20
09-16 19:31Will Linke win less than 8% of all valid second votes?BUY0.2271973491$57.25
09-16 19:30Will Grüne win between 3% and 5% of all valid second votes?BUY0.33$165.00