BiDiFakePolls
0xd24b95551eb288ff82bb625dcd7f32f62abdef76
- Realised P&L
- $37.1k
- Volume
- $1.11M
- Markets traded
- 251
- Open portfolio
- $70.9k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded251
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.0kat 0.447Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
- +$3.7kat 0.730Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
- +$2.8kat 0.536Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?
- +$2.5kat 0.590Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
- +$2.3kat 0.687Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 22:58 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.61 | $915.00 |
| 09-16 22:58 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.61 | $305.00 |
| 09-16 22:51 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.61 | $305.00 |
| 09-16 19:45 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.59 | $295.00 |
| 09-16 19:44 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.59 | $590.00 |
| 09-16 19:41 | Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: Grüne Over/Under 5%? | BUY | 0.46 | $32.25 |
| 09-16 19:40 | Will Grüne win between 3% and 5% of all valid second votes? | BUY | 0.33 | $330.00 |
| 09-16 19:40 | Will Grüne win between 3% and 5% of all valid second votes? | BUY | 0.33 | $165.00 |
| 09-16 19:38 | Will AfD win the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election by a margin of 2-5%? | BUY | 0.64 | $134.40 |
| 09-16 19:35 | Will BSW win less than 3% of all valid second votes? | BUY | 0.1021406041 | $19.11 |
| 09-16 19:34 | Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: SPD Over/Under 28%? | BUY | 0.91 | $652.66 |
| 09-16 19:33 | Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: SPD Over/Under 28%? | BUY | 0.9037674817 | $168.92 |
| 09-16 19:32 | Will Linke win between 11% and 14% of all valid second votes? | BUY | 0.81 | $26.20 |
| 09-16 19:31 | Will Linke win less than 8% of all valid second votes? | BUY | 0.2271973491 | $57.25 |
| 09-16 19:30 | Will Grüne win between 3% and 5% of all valid second votes? | BUY | 0.33 | $165.00 |