Shad2y
0xd220223eb9b6d2f70a50573525f52e0a548ac03d
- Realised P&L
- $-3.3k
- Volume
- $291.3k
- Markets traded
- 119
- Open portfolio
- $203.13
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded119
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$673.80at 0.816Chirayu Rana sued?
- +$660.15at 0.560SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?
- +$447.05at 0.900Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
- +$387.19at 0.767Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
- +$379.83at 0.785US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 16:32 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.9369945454 | $259.39 |
| 09-17 16:30 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.9380192905 | $259.66 |
| 09-17 09:47 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.94 | $132.43 |
| 09-17 09:45 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.94 | $132.41 |
| 09-17 08:58 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.94 | $37.27 |
| 09-17 08:13 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.94 | $108.81 |
| 09-15 18:50 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.94 | $0.86 |
| 09-15 18:50 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.94 | $0.08 |
| 09-15 18:50 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.94 | $0.10 |
| 09-15 18:50 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.94 | $0.03 |
| 09-15 18:50 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.94 | $0.10 |
| 09-15 18:50 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.94 | $1.06 |
| 09-15 18:50 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.94 | $0.06 |
| 09-15 18:50 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.94 | $2.76 |
| 09-15 18:50 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.94 | $0.60 |