PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Shad2y

0xd220223eb9b6d2f70a50573525f52e0a548ac03d

Realised P&L
$-3.3k
Volume
$291.3k
Markets traded
119
Open portfolio
$203.13

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded119
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration68.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Blue wave in 2026? · Yes0.8060.825$140.04+$3.19
Will GameStop acquire eBay? · No0.8800.925$37.02+$1.80
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · No0.3500.405$16.52+$2.24
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.2840.125$5.07$6.46
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · No0.8000.920$3.93+$0.51
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · No0.6080.525$0.55$0.09
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? · Yes0.0850.000$0.00$63.00
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? · Yes0.6300.000$0.00$12.64
Will Stephen Lynch be the Democratic nominee for MA-08? · No0.2000.000$0.00$61.84
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No0.8400.000$0.00$0.91
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? · Yes0.1050.000$0.00$364.19
Iran closes its airspace by June 15? · No0.5050.000$0.00$40.50
Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026? · No0.8100.000$0.00$1.2k
Will Patrick Roath be the Democratic nominee for MA-08? · Yes0.2240.000$0.00$227.57
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? · No0.3600.000$0.00$1.88

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 16:32Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?SELL0.9369945454$259.39
09-17 16:30Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?SELL0.9380192905$259.66
09-17 09:47Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?SELL0.94$132.43
09-17 09:45Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?SELL0.94$132.41
09-17 08:58Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?SELL0.94$37.27
09-17 08:13Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?SELL0.94$108.81
09-15 18:50Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?SELL0.94$0.86
09-15 18:50Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?SELL0.94$0.08
09-15 18:50Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?SELL0.94$0.10
09-15 18:50Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?SELL0.94$0.03
09-15 18:50Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?SELL0.94$0.10
09-15 18:50Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?SELL0.94$1.06
09-15 18:50Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?SELL0.94$0.06
09-15 18:50Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?SELL0.94$2.76
09-15 18:50Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?SELL0.94$0.60