Maugus
0xd2143152fefd50203a2a1125797bb678a4efdcc4
- Realised P&L
- $14.28
- Volume
- $760.15
- Markets traded
- 58
- Open portfolio
- $28.90
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded58
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample45 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.95at 0.403Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez attend the 2026 State of the Union address?
- +$5.67at 0.150Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on January 17?
- +$3.20at 0.680Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?
- +$3.10at 0.380Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs
- +$2.69at 0.730US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 00:51 | ICE Agent charged in NYC incident by December 31? | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $3.00 |
| 10-11 00:50 | US imports Russian diesel by October 31? | BUY | 0.419999979 | $2.00 |
| 05-22 05:30 | Will Trump attend his son's wedding? | BUY | 0.68 | $4.08 |
| 05-22 05:25 | Was the Fox News guest wearing a mask? | BUY | 0.048 | $1.01 |
| 05-02 04:51 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | SELL | 0.997 | $4.99 |
| 05-02 04:51 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | SELL | 0.998 | $4.99 |
| 04-15 09:01 | Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30? | BUY | 0.046 | $0.27 |
| 04-10 11:35 | Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections? | SELL | 0.93 | $4.65 |
| 04-09 15:55 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | BUY | 0.7 | $3.50 |
| 04-08 14:25 | Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Playoffs | BUY | 0.1799998704 | $0.95 |
| 04-04 01:44 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.36 | $5.40 |
| 04-01 04:50 | US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | SELL | 0.999 | $9.98 |
| 03-18 21:05 | Will turnout in the 2026 Danish general elections be between 85% and 90%? | BUY | 0.38 | $2.28 |
| 03-18 21:02 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.64 | $2.00 |
| 03-16 21:21 | Will Green Left win the second most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election? | BUY | 0.66 | $3.96 |