PolyBot

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Traders

Maugus

0xd2143152fefd50203a2a1125797bb678a4efdcc4

Realised P&L
$14.28
Volume
$760.15
Markets traded
58
Open portfolio
$28.90

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded58
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample45 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)57.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republican Party win the TX-24 House seat? · Yes0.7530.935$6.82+$1.32
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? · Yes0.1400.585$6.43+$4.89
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · Yes0.3600.375$5.63+$0.23
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.5300.355$4.62−$2.27
ICE Agent charged in NYC incident by December 31? · No0.8200.785$2.87−$0.13
US imports Russian diesel by October 31? · Yes0.4200.420$2.00+$0.00
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? · Yes0.0400.026$0.53−$0.27
Was the Fox News guest wearing a mask? · Yes0.0480.000$0.00−$1.01
Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in June 2026? · Yes0.3500.000$0.00−$1.75
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs · Team Spirit0.1400.000$0.00−$1.40
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Barack Obama by June 30, 2026? · No0.0800.000$0.00−$1.68
Will the People's Bank of China increase rates in April? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$1.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-11 00:51ICE Agent charged in NYC incident by December 31?BUY0.8199999836$3.00
10-11 00:50US imports Russian diesel by October 31?BUY0.419999979$2.00
05-22 05:30Will Trump attend his son's wedding?BUY0.68$4.08
05-22 05:25Was the Fox News guest wearing a mask?BUY0.048$1.01
05-02 04:51Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?SELL0.997$4.99
05-02 04:51Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?SELL0.998$4.99
04-15 09:01Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?BUY0.046$0.27
04-10 11:35Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?SELL0.93$4.65
04-09 15:55Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?BUY0.7$3.50
04-08 14:25Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES PlayoffsBUY0.1799998704$0.95
04-04 01:44Netanyahu out by end of 2026?BUY0.36$5.40
04-01 04:50US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?SELL0.999$9.98
03-18 21:05Will turnout in the 2026 Danish general elections be between 85% and 90%?BUY0.38$2.28
03-18 21:02Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?SELL0.64$2.00
03-16 21:21Will Green Left win the second most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?BUY0.66$3.96