PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xd20d7704dc62fd28dfdcc5ac5f7c57c3c037769a

Realised P&L
$-1.7k
Volume
$125.9k
Markets traded
64
Open portfolio
$311.39

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded64
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration47.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-07 20:14Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?BUY0.2699999988$144.00
07-06 06:36Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?BUY0.72$110.00
07-05 23:51Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?BUY0.1$30.00
07-05 12:57Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?BUY0.2$7.00
07-04 10:45Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?BUY0.5599999496$4.00
07-03 17:45Will England win on 2026-07-05?BUY0.4$45.00
07-03 17:44Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?BUY0.1299999902$10.00
07-03 17:44Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?BUY0.0379999928$5.00
07-01 18:38Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?BUY0.46$460.00
07-01 18:37Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.415$525.32
07-01 18:35Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?BUY0.4599999678$6.00
07-01 10:57Will England win on 2026-07-01?BUY0.7699999877$5.00
07-01 10:01Will Paraguay reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0460984427$37.57
07-01 10:00Will Morocco reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?BUY0.0909999974$30.00
07-01 09:58Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.093$83.04