0xd20d7704dc62fd28dfdcc5ac5f7c57c3c037769a
- Realised P&L
- $-1.7k
- Volume
- $125.9k
- Markets traded
- 64
- Open portfolio
- $311.39
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded64
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes | 0.311 | 0.926 | $148.95 | +$98.95 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.269 | 0.160 | $59.29 | −$40.71 |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.245 | $44.55 | +$4.55 |
| Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · Yes | 0.433 | 0.144 | $33.23 | −$66.77 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.208 | 0.162 | $23.27 | −$6.73 |
| Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · Yes | 0.313 | 0.066 | $2.09 | −$7.91 |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$144.00 |
| Will Morocco reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? · Yes | 0.091 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$535.67at 0.085Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?
- +$280.60at 0.600Will England win on 2026-06-17?
- +$226.52at 0.538Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?
- +$92.84at 0.671Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?
- +$89.94at 0.745Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-07 20:14 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.2699999988 | $144.00 |
| 07-06 06:36 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.72 | $110.00 |
| 07-05 23:51 | Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.1 | $30.00 |
| 07-05 12:57 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.2 | $7.00 |
| 07-04 10:45 | Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04? | BUY | 0.5599999496 | $4.00 |
| 07-03 17:45 | Will England win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.4 | $45.00 |
| 07-03 17:44 | Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw? | BUY | 0.1299999902 | $10.00 |
| 07-03 17:44 | Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03? | BUY | 0.0379999928 | $5.00 |
| 07-01 18:38 | Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01? | BUY | 0.46 | $460.00 |
| 07-01 18:37 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.415 | $525.32 |
| 07-01 18:35 | Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01? | BUY | 0.4599999678 | $6.00 |
| 07-01 10:57 | Will England win on 2026-07-01? | BUY | 0.7699999877 | $5.00 |
| 07-01 10:01 | Will Paraguay reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0460984427 | $37.57 |
| 07-01 10:00 | Will Morocco reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | BUY | 0.0909999974 | $30.00 |
| 07-01 09:58 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.093 | $83.04 |