0x07f92D1a1541350325F7ec14A632C81a953407C1-1775097182428
0xd1f8ba622cdb0345cf113461ca0fadc1643073ab
- Realised P&L
- $5.16
- Volume
- $54.44
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $36.70
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar9.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.790 | 0.845 | $10.70 | +$0.70 |
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-05 House seat? · Yes | 0.930 | 0.935 | $10.05 | +$0.05 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-08 House seat? · Yes | 0.950 | 0.950 | $10.00 | +$0.00 |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31? · No | 0.710 | 0.845 | $5.95 | +$0.95 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.33at 0.752Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-27 01:34 | Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-08 House seat? | BUY | 0.95 | $10.00 |
| 08-26 11:26 | US strike on Colombia by December 31? | BUY | 0.7099998694 | $5.00 |
| 08-26 11:23 | Will the Republican Party win the TX-05 House seat? | BUY | 0.9299999953 | $10.00 |
| 08-21 09:33 | Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899999866 | $10.00 |
| 07-24 03:45 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.742999992 | $10.00 |