PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x07f92D1a1541350325F7ec14A632C81a953407C1-1775097182428

0xd1f8ba622cdb0345cf113461ca0fadc1643073ab

Realised P&L
$5.16
Volume
$54.44
Markets traded
5
Open portfolio
$36.70

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar9.5%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded5
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? · No0.7900.845$10.70+$0.70
Will the Republican Party win the TX-05 House seat? · Yes0.9300.935$10.05+$0.05
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-08 House seat? · Yes0.9500.950$10.00+$0.00
US strike on Colombia by December 31? · No0.7100.845$5.95+$0.95

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-27 01:34Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-08 House seat?BUY0.95$10.00
08-26 11:26US strike on Colombia by December 31?BUY0.7099998694$5.00
08-26 11:23Will the Republican Party win the TX-05 House seat?BUY0.9299999953$10.00
08-21 09:33Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7899999866$10.00
07-24 03:45Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.742999992$10.00