SirFrancisGalton
0xd1f048845c71935f989c1494cd5895a0386b6fb4
- Realised P&L
- $18.3k
- Volume
- $2.67M
- Markets traded
- 3,477
- Open portfolio
- $4.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,477
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration6.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.2kat 0.380Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-30?
- +$2.0kat 0.430Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-01?
- +$1.9kat 0.510Will Brighton win on 2025-10-05?
- +$1.2kat 0.577Real Betis Balompié vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5
- +$1.1kat 0.285RC Celta de Vigo vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 1.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 15:27 | Exact Score: Beşiktaş JK 0 - 1 Olympique de Marseille? | BUY | 0.96 | $9.60 |
| 09-17 15:05 | Exact Score: Beşiktaş JK 0 - 3 Olympique de Marseille? | BUY | 0.989 | $1.8k |
| 09-17 15:04 | Exact Score: Beşiktaş JK 0 - 1 Olympique de Marseille? | BUY | 0.96 | $1.1k |
| 09-17 15:04 | Exact Score: Beşiktaş JK 1 - 3 Olympique de Marseille? | BUY | 0.977 | $1.3k |
| 09-17 15:04 | Exact Score: Celtic FC 2 - 2 Ferencvárosi TC? | BUY | 0.94 | $1.0k |
| 09-17 15:04 | Exact Score: Celtic FC 0 - 3 Ferencvárosi TC? | BUY | 0.991 | $1.8k |
| 09-17 15:04 | Exact Score: Celtic FC 1 - 3 Ferencvárosi TC? | BUY | 0.98 | $1.5k |
| 09-17 15:04 | Exact Score: Celtic FC 2 - 3 Ferencvárosi TC? | BUY | 0.978 | $1.1k |
| 09-14 15:21 | Exact Score: Villarreal CF 3 - 2 Real Betis Balompié? | BUY | 0.958 | $568.09 |
| 09-14 15:21 | Exact Score: Villarreal CF 2 - 3 Real Betis Balompié? | BUY | 0.971 | $612.70 |
| 09-14 15:21 | Exact Score: Villarreal CF 3 - 3 Real Betis Balompié? | BUY | 0.98 | $469.42 |
| 09-14 15:21 | Exact Score: Villarreal CF 1 - 3 Real Betis Balompié? | BUY | 0.971 | $408.79 |
| 09-14 15:21 | Exact Score: Torino FC 1 - 3 AS Roma? | BUY | 0.93 | $46.50 |
| 09-11 10:30 | Exact Score: Stade Rennais FC 1901 2 - 3 Olympique de Marseille? | BUY | 0.97 | $2.7k |
| 09-10 11:43 | Exact Score: FC Bayern München 3 - 2 FK Bodø/Glimt? | BUY | 0.969 | $683.05 |