PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

fafish

0xd1e17931541d148dccd2ff9fc6ea6472ac322c7a

Realised P&L
$2.62
Volume
$1.2k
Markets traded
21
Open portfolio
$6.94

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded21
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample10 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Greece x Turkey military engagement by December 31? · Yes0.1490.083$2.79−$2.21
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.2400.154$1.93−$1.07
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1770.123$1.40−$0.60
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.1600.035$0.43−$1.57
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? · Yes0.1900.075$0.39−$0.61
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3610.000$0.00−$5.00
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19? · No0.1580.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$1.00
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026? · No0.0010.000$0.00−$1.00
Will England win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.5350.000$0.00−$3.00
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30? · No0.0400.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 22:08Greece x Turkey military engagement by December 31?BUY0.1489999999$5.00
07-19 19:09Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.5809998902$2.00
07-17 17:27Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.405$2.32
07-14 13:27Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.1979998432$1.00
07-14 13:25Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1739998695$1.00
07-14 13:25England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.4499997975$1.00
07-14 13:20Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.013$0.42
07-14 13:20Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.142$1.33
07-14 13:19Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.215$1.87
07-11 20:44Will England win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.5349999777$3.00
07-05 01:55Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.3609999672$5.00
06-17 12:34Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30?BUY0.04$1.00
06-17 12:34Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?BUY0.15799989$1.00
06-17 12:29US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?BUY0.001$1.00
05-11 14:15Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1149999005$1.00