PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

033033033

0xd1c769317bd15de7768a70d0214cf0bbcc531d2b

Realised P&L
$312.1k
Volume
$178.07M
Markets traded
872
Open portfolio
$3.20M

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded872
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration64.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.9991.000$2.07M+$1.0k
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? · No0.9981.000$828.0k+$863.20
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9980.998$163.6k−$161.11
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 26? · No0.9991.000$50.0k+$25.01
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9970.997$29.9k−$10.67
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No0.9850.989$20.4k+$72.19
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? · No0.9880.992$19.2k+$64.16
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? · No0.9991.000$15.8k+$7.89
Will Eury Perez win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award? · No0.9991.000$1.0k+$0.52
Will Nolan McLean win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award? · No0.9991.000$388.81+$0.19

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 01:35Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?BUY0.999$211.3k
10-31 10:10Will Bitcoin reach $102,500 in October?BUY0.999$494.50
10-31 10:09Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in October?BUY0.999$1.0k
10-31 04:18Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?BUY0.992$784.82
10-31 04:01Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in October?BUY0.999$5.4k
10-31 04:00Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?BUY0.999$5.2k
10-30 12:02Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in October?BUY0.999$93.91
10-30 12:02Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in October?BUY0.999$797.16
10-30 12:01Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in October?BUY0.999$1.6k
10-30 12:01Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in October?BUY0.9989981481$2.7k
10-30 12:00Will Bitcoin reach $102,500 in October?BUY0.999$47.06
10-30 12:00Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October?BUY0.999$1.6k
10-30 10:03Will XRP reach $3.20 in October?BUY0.999$9.27
10-30 10:02Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October?BUY0.999$991.61
10-30 10:02Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October?BUY0.999$989.01