PolyBot

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Traders

0xd1c508fd5e703c65a5d242e5d8218dc0a40166c2

0xd1c508fd5e703c65a5d242e5d8218dc0a40166c2

Realised P&L
$-8.99
Volume
$230.76
Markets traded
65
Open portfolio
$2.08

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded65
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration9.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · No0.7600.805$1.06+$0.06
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026? · Yes0.2400.245$1.02+$0.02

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 21:51Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?BUY0.2399999808$1.00
10-02 18:01Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?BUY0.7599999088$1.00
10-02 09:26Will ISM Services PMI be between 57.0 and 57.9 in September?BUY0.7789998567$1.00
10-02 01:24Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?BUY0.77$1.00
09-29 03:32Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $975B by September 30?BUY0.759999696$1.00
09-28 07:30Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?BUY0.2099999895$1.00
09-26 10:23Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September?BUY0.8$1.00
09-26 02:14Will there be exactly 2 Codex weekly usage limit resets in the week of September 21?BUY0.7099998509$1.00
09-24 17:36Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.50 on September 30, 2026?BUY0.7039998536$1.00
09-19 20:30Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?BUY0.3799999924$2.00
09-18 22:59Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?BUY0.78$2.00
09-18 09:02Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?BUY0.7299999087$2.00
09-07 14:22US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?BUY0.5299998781$2.00
08-30 14:47Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 31 to September 2, 2026?BUY0.5099999566$2.00
08-30 06:45Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in August?BUY0.2399999184$2.00