0xd1BF6d7A83CB85CC1239440Dd8d4f494457Ae1b4-1760666608290
0xd1bf6d7a83cb85cc1239440dd8d4f494457ae1b4
- Realised P&L
- $-196.36
- Volume
- $8.4k
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $2.08
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)8.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.34at 0.710Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
- +$-0.25at 0.008US x Venezuela military engagement by October 27?
- +$-0.36at 0.087Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?
- +$-0.43at 0.139Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
- +$-0.50at 0.045Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-15 02:38 | Will Netanyahu tweet again by Saturday? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 03-15 02:29 | Will Jeff Criswell win the GA-14 special election? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 03-15 02:29 | Will Jasmine Crockett win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 0% and 5.00%? | BUY | 0.0011834506 | $1.00 |
| 03-15 02:28 | Will Bernard Arnault be 2nd richest person on March 31? | BUY | 0.0173346277 | $1.00 |
| 03-15 02:27 | Will turnout in the Bangladesh parliamentary election be between 85% and 90%? | BUY | 0.0203442171 | $5.00 |
| 03-15 02:26 | Will Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen win the 2025–2026 NHL Vezina Trophy? | BUY | 0.0280528934 | $5.00 |
| 03-15 02:23 | Will Jalen Brunson lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season? | BUY | 0.0058392266 | $5.00 |
| 03-15 02:23 | Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $40B and $50B at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.0390507071 | $5.00 |
| 03-15 02:21 | Will turnout in the first round of the Texas Democratic Senate primary be between 1,750,000 and 2,000,000 voters? | BUY | 0.0168492327 | $5.00 |
| 03-14 15:23 | Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $300B and $400B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.0105020989 | $2.55 |
| 03-14 15:23 | Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $200B and $300B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.0067884988 | $1.78 |
| 03-13 02:24 | Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $200B and $300B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.0190161066 | $5.00 |
| 03-13 02:24 | Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.0371289347 | $5.00 |
| 03-13 02:24 | Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $300B and $400B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.0205774019 | $5.00 |
| 03-13 02:20 | Will James Parkin win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | BUY | 0.0226145759 | $5.00 |