Kickstand7
0xd1acd3925d895de9aec98ff95f3a30c5279d08d5
- Realised P&L
- $1.47M
- Volume
- $69.84M
- Markets traded
- 1,322
- Open portfolio
- $401.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,322
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration42.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration74.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$128.4kat 0.325Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
- +$126.9kat 0.005Will there be a US Government shutdown?
- +$126.0kat 0.004Was Trump hacked?
- +$123.4kat 0.033US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$83.4kat 0.005Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-14 14:27 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.07 | $3.76 |
| 07-14 14:27 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.07 | $2.9k |
| 07-14 13:04 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.07 | $4.1k |
| 07-14 12:34 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.89 | $57.3k |
| 07-14 12:32 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.89 | $87.7k |
| 07-14 12:31 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.88 | $38.8k |
| 07-13 21:57 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.635818464 | $3.2k |
| 07-13 21:56 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.63 | $5.0k |
| 07-13 18:20 | Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.218 | $1.3k |
| 07-13 16:33 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.6589002514 | $165.14 |
| 07-10 05:22 | Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.006 | $0.15 |
| 07-09 03:22 | Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.02 | $0.58 |
| 07-08 21:30 | Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.0138939957 | $235.42 |
| 07-08 02:53 | Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.02 | $7.48 |
| 07-08 02:12 | Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.017 | $0.41 |