PolyBot

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Traders

Kickstand7

0xd1acd3925d895de9aec98ff95f3a30c5279d08d5

Realised P&L
$1.57M
Volume
$69.57M
Markets traded
1,330
Open portfolio
$79.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,330
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration41.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration58.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 17:16Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?SELL0.982$98.20
10-29 17:08Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?BUY0.3$558.55
10-29 17:08Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?BUY0.3$767.10
10-29 17:07Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?BUY0.1$113.50
10-29 17:07Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?BUY0.1$532.42
10-27 20:31Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.67$2.3k
10-27 20:13Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.73$270.33
10-25 23:42Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.0388863118$1.9k
10-25 23:41Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.0390093778$4.7k
10-25 23:40Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.0499132786$5.7k
10-25 22:51Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.6598998013$33.9k
10-25 22:49Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.629999523$42.3k
10-25 22:23Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.7398778301$17.8k
10-25 22:22Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.68$3.1k
10-25 22:18Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.5987609738$9.4k