PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Kickstand7

0xd1acd3925d895de9aec98ff95f3a30c5279d08d5

Realised P&L
$1.47M
Volume
$69.84M
Markets traded
1,322
Open portfolio
$401.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,322
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration42.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration74.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-14 14:27Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.07$3.76
07-14 14:27Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.07$2.9k
07-14 13:04Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.07$4.1k
07-14 12:34Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.89$57.3k
07-14 12:32Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.89$87.7k
07-14 12:31Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.88$38.8k
07-13 21:57Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.635818464$3.2k
07-13 21:56Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.63$5.0k
07-13 18:20Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?SELL0.218$1.3k
07-13 16:33Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.6589002514$165.14
07-10 05:22Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?BUY0.006$0.15
07-09 03:22Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?BUY0.02$0.58
07-08 21:30Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?SELL0.0138939957$235.42
07-08 02:53Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?BUY0.02$7.48
07-08 02:12Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?BUY0.017$0.41